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Research Project
Centre of Geographical Studies
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Publications
Biodeteção Móvel Participativa para o Desenho Urbano
Publication . Paiva, Daniel; Cachinho, Herculano; Estevens, Ana; Gonçalves, Ana; Ferreira, Daniela; Brito-Henriques, Eduardo; Boavida-Portugal, Inês; Rodrigues, Nuno; Pedro, Tomás; Equipa UrBio
Este guia foi especialmente desenvolvido para urbanistas interessados em
aplicar metodologias de desenho urbano participativas para tornar as cidades
em que trabalham mais sensíveis às emoções dos seus habitantes.
A metodologia que se apresenta consiste na introdução de técnicas de
biodeteção móvel, que nos oferecem informação sobre o estado fisiológico e
emocional dos habitantes, em métodos participativos reconhecidos em
análise e design urbano.
Esta metodologia é recomendada para implementação em projetos de
regeneração de escala local, nomeadamente ao nível de praças e ruas, em
que a dimensão experiencial é importante, como é o caso de espaços de
consumo ou turismo.
Predicting dengue importation into Europe, using machine learning and model-agnostic methods
Publication . Salami, Donald; Sousa, Carla Alexandra; Martins, Maria do Rosário Oliveira; Capinha, César
The geographical spread of dengue is a global public health concern. This is largely mediated by the importation of dengue from endemic to non-endemic areas via the increasing connectivity of the global air transport network. The dynamic nature and intrinsic heterogeneity of the air transport network make it challenging to predict dengue importation. Here, we explore the capabilities of state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms to predict dengue importation. We trained four machine learning classifiers algorithms, using a 6-year historical dengue importation data for 21 countries in Europe and connectivity indices mediating importation and air transport network centrality measures. Predictive performance for the classifiers was evaluated using the area under the receiving operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, and specificity measures. Finally, we applied practical model-agnostic methods, to provide an in-depth explanation of our optimal model's predictions on a global and local scale. Our best performing model achieved high predictive accuracy, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic score of 0.94 and a maximized sensitivity score of 0.88. The predictor variables identified as most important were the source country's dengue incidence rate, population size, and volume of air passengers. Network centrality measures, describing the positioning of European countries within the air travel network, were also influential to the predictions. We demonstrated the high predictive performance of a machine learning model in predicting dengue importation and the utility of the model-agnostic methods to offer a comprehensive understanding of the reasons behind the predictions. Similar approaches can be utilized in the development of an operational early warning surveillance system for dengue importation.
From cyberspace to cyberspatialities?
Publication . Ferreira, Daniela; Vale, Mário
This paper is a short reflection on the evolution of the meaning of the term
cyberspace for geographers. We argue that the concept of cyberspace has
become a rhizomatic one as spatial thinkers have unveiled its complex
inner and outer networkings. While cyberspace was initially understood as
a new open space ripe for exploration, its intricate connections with real
space through the technological infrastructures that make cyberspace
possible have led geographers to consider the multiple points of access
and types of cyberspace. More recently, there has been renewed attention
to the inner geographies of cyberspace and its cyberdivides have been
exposed. We briefly retrace this evolution to argue that the way forward is
to shift from an idea of cyberspace as a predefined space to a notion of
cyberspatialities as ongoing spatial digital formations.
Improving the Walkability of High Streets: A Participatory Approach Using Biosensing and Scenario Co-Creation
Publication . Pedro, Tomás; Paiva, Daniel
In the 21st century, there has been a concerted effort to undo the automobilecentric urban planning of the 20th century, which has resulted in degraded public spaces
that deter citizen permanence. However, the perpetuation of quantitative-based methodologies, along with low public participation, has led to underused public spaces. To create
more appealing spaces, the methods need to feature more public involvement. This article
addresses this gap by implementing the Participatory Mobile Biosensing methodology.
Participants were asked to walk along two high streets in Lisbon using biosensors and, in a
later workshop, to interpret their biodata and co-create scenarios to improve their walking
experience. The participants were able to identify the intangible and physical factors that
affected their walk, as well as devise scenarios to address them. When the participants
formulated their scenarios, they were also able to demonstrate several ideals that influenced
their vision for the streets. The subsequent discussion focused on the relevance of this
methodology to high streets and how participatory methods could further the study of
walkability by incorporating subjective experiences in the creation of public spaces.
When do citizen scientists record biodiversity? Non‐random temporal patterns of recording effort and associated factors
Publication . Rosário, Inês T.; Tiago, Patrícia; Chozas, Sergio; Capinha, César
1. Citizen science data are increasingly used for ecological research, biodiversity
conservation and monitoring. However, these data often present significant
analytical challenges due to uneven recording efforts by citizen scientists.
Biases caused by intra-annual differences in levels of recording activity can be
particularly severe, hindering the use of citizen science data in research areas such
as population dynamics and phenology. Therefore, understanding the temporal
patterns and drivers of recording activity by citizen scientists is essential.
2. In this study, we provide a detailed assessment of how weather and calendarrelated factors relate to levels of biodiversity recording activity by citizen scientists
at a daily resolution. To perform this, we analyse the recording patterns for six
tree species in the Iberian Peninsula, which maintain a consistent appearance
throughout the year. Observation data were collected from iNaturalist, a leading
platform for citizen science data. We used boosted regression trees (BRT) to
compare observed recording activity patterns with those expected by chance.
Our analysis included a comprehensive set of explanatory variables, such as the
day of the week, the month, holidays, temperature, accumulated precipitation,
wind intensity and snow depth.
3. The BRT models demonstrated good predictive performance, with the correlation
between predicted and observed patterns of recording activity (left out of model
training) ranging from 0.55 to 0.91, depending on the species. The day of the
week, month of the year, and daily temperature consistently emerged as the most
important predictors. Recording activity was higher on weekends, to some extent
on Fridays and during the spring months. Extreme low and high temperatures
were generally associated with lower recording activity, although there were
exceptions. Precipitation and wind speed had relatively lower importance but
remained relevant, with increased precipitation and wind intensity typically
associated with reduced recording activity. In contrast, public holidays and
accumulated snow demonstrated minimal to negligible importance.
4. Our findings show that citizen scientists record more frequently on weekends,
during mild weather and in spring. By addressing these non-random patterns in recording activity, we can maximise the utility of citizen-collected data for
research and applied purposes.
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Funders
Funding agency
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Funding programme
6817 - DCRRNI ID
Funding Award Number
UIDP/00295/2020
