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The impact of immigration flows in the Portuguese agricultural sector

dc.contributor.authorSarmento, Margarida Antunes de Moraes
dc.contributor.institutionLisbon School of Economics & Management
dc.contributor.supervisorBrissos, Susana
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-11T13:50:01Z
dc.date.available2026-02-11T13:50:01Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.descriptionTrabalho Final de Mestrado, Management and Industrial Strategy, ISEG, 2025
dc.description.abstractThis dissertation looks at Portuguese agricultural sector's economic performance from 2008 to 2022 under the influence of immigrant influx. The study examines how immigration influences net business income (NBI) in agriculture under population decline, workforce shortage, and increasing structural reliance on foreign workers. The study evaluates the impact on the sector's NBI of three variables: the number of foreign workers, the number of Portuguese workers, and the annual inflation rate, using a quantitative approach based on time-series econometric modelling. The findings show a statistically significant and favourable link between the number of foreign workers and agricultural income: every extra immigrant worker benefits the sector on average €13,000 to €57,000 yearly. By contrast, the contributions of inflation and native labour were not statistically relevant. These results demonstrate that, especially in rural areas like Alentejo and Ribatejo, immigration has a major economic influence beyond demographic renewal. The research also points up structural limitations, including data restrictions and the difficulty to differentiate between seasonal and permanent immigrants. Nevertheless, it underlines how urgently effective policy making, including targeted integration policies and improved visa procedures, is needed to ensure the long-term sustainability of the agricultural sector by means of strategic labor migration.en
dc.formatapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/116997
dc.language.isoeng
dc.subjectImmigration
dc.subjectAgricultural Sector
dc.subjectLabour Market
dc.subjectForeign Workers
dc.subjectEconomic Performance
dc.subjectPortugal
dc.subjectNet Business Income
dc.subjectMigration Policy
dc.subjectTime-Series Analysis
dc.titleThe impact of immigration flows in the Portuguese agricultural sectoren
dc.typemaster thesis
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccess

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