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Cálculo da Capacidade de Carga Turística em Portugal Continental: Modelo de Otimização para identificação de futuros sustentáveis
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Com o aumento dos territórios turísticos e o destaque que Portugal tem tido como
destino turístico, que tem vindo a provocar um intenso crescimento do setor nos últimos oito
anos, bem como dos seus principais indicadores: Produto Interno Bruto e número de hóspedes
e dormidas, torna-se necessário estudar quais os processos, dinâmicas e agentes envolvidos nos
processos de turistificação. E visto que as interações turismo-território fomentam diversas
transformações socioeconómicas, culturais e ambientais, e introduzem novos elementos como
alojamentos e estabelecimentos de restauração. Torna-se necessário que o planeamento
turístico deva considerar indicadores, como a capacidade de carga turística, que meçam os
limites máximos dos impactos que o território suporta. Trata-se de uma constatação de que o
uso excessivo dos recursos pode acarretar a sua destruição, pelo que torna necessário identificar
limites para a sua utilização e criar regras para a sua gestão.
O presente estudo pretende, recorrendo a dados oficiais e Big Data, avaliar o processo
de turistificação no espaço e no tempo dos municípios de Portugal continental. Avaliar a
capacidade de carga turística também a nível municipal de Portugal continental e identificar
possíveis cenários futuros, com o intuito de identificar os possíveis municípios que poderão vir
a estar em risco no futuro e os que se encontram em risco na atualidade, isto é, municípios onde
poderá existir impactos fomentados pela atividade turística que poderá ter impactos sobre os
recursos nacionais.
With the increase in tourist territories and the emphasis that Portugal has had as a tourist destination, which has been causing intense growth in the sector over the last eight years, as well as in its main indicators: Gross Domestic Product and number of guests and overnight stays, it becomes necessary to study which processes, dynamics and stakeholders involved in the touristification processes. And as tourism-territory interactions foster several socioeconomic, cultural and environmental transformations, and introduce new elements such as accommodation and restaurants. It becomes necessary that tourism planning should consider indicators such as tourist carrying capacity, that measure the maximum limits of the impacts that the territory supports. It is an observation that the excessive use of resources can lead to their destruction, which makes it necessary to identify limits for their use and create rules for their management. The present study aims, using official data and Big Data, evaluate the touristification process in space and time in the municipalities of Mainland Portugal. Rate the tourism carrying capacity also at the municipal level of mainland Portugal and identify possible future scenarios, in order to identify the possible municipalities at risk and those that are currently at risk, that is, municipalities where there may be impacts promoted by the activity which could have impacts on national resources.
With the increase in tourist territories and the emphasis that Portugal has had as a tourist destination, which has been causing intense growth in the sector over the last eight years, as well as in its main indicators: Gross Domestic Product and number of guests and overnight stays, it becomes necessary to study which processes, dynamics and stakeholders involved in the touristification processes. And as tourism-territory interactions foster several socioeconomic, cultural and environmental transformations, and introduce new elements such as accommodation and restaurants. It becomes necessary that tourism planning should consider indicators such as tourist carrying capacity, that measure the maximum limits of the impacts that the territory supports. It is an observation that the excessive use of resources can lead to their destruction, which makes it necessary to identify limits for their use and create rules for their management. The present study aims, using official data and Big Data, evaluate the touristification process in space and time in the municipalities of Mainland Portugal. Rate the tourism carrying capacity also at the municipal level of mainland Portugal and identify possible future scenarios, in order to identify the possible municipalities at risk and those that are currently at risk, that is, municipalities where there may be impacts promoted by the activity which could have impacts on national resources.
Descrição
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Turistificação Economia Partilhada Capacidade de Carga Turística Sustentabilidade Cenários