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Implications of climate change on the distribution and conservation of Cabo Verde endemic trees

2022Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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dc.contributor.authorVarela, Danilson
dc.contributor.authorRomeiras, Maria M.
dc.contributor.authorSilva, Luís
dc.date.accessioned2022-02-14T15:34:44Z
dc.date.available2022-02-14T15:34:44Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.description.abstractClimate change is one of the most significant challenges to biodiversity conservation, particularly in dry tropical islands, such as the Cabo Verde archipelago where only three endemic tree taxa occur – Dracaena draco subsp. caboverdeana, Phoenix atlantica and Sideroxylon marginatum – all classified as threatened. The main goal of this study was to predict the possible shifts in the climatically suitable habitat ranges for Cabo Verdean endemic tree species under different climate change scenarios. We applied species distribution models (SDMs) to the available occurrence data, and projected the distribution of the three taxa for 2050 and 2080, according to the expected climate change scenarios. The best models were obtained using the Random Forest algorithm; they showed that, by 2080, the suitable habitat for Dracaena draco subsp. caboverdeana and Sideroxylon marginatum will have decreased by 28% and 34%, respectively; conversely, the suitable habitat will have increased by 59% for Phoenix atlantica, the taxon best adapted to arid conditions. Additionally, Santo Ant˜ao is the island where endangered trees are more encompassed by protected areas. Overall, this study contributed with new integrated data to support the design and implementation of a strategic plan to promote the conservation and ecological value of Cabo Verde endemic trees in this climatically vulnerable countrypt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationGlobal Ecology and Conservation 34 (2022) e02025pt_PT
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2022.e02025pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/23501
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relationUID/AGR/04129/2020pt_PT
dc.relationUID/50027/2020pt_PT
dc.relationChallenges, sources and solutions for resource curse hypothesis in sub saharan africa: an empirical study
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectTropical Islandspt_PT
dc.subjectariditypt_PT
dc.subjectdroughtpt_PT
dc.subjectclimate changept_PT
dc.subjectendemic treespt_PT
dc.subjectecological modellingpt_PT
dc.subjectprotected areaspt_PT
dc.subjectMacaronesiapt_PT
dc.titleImplications of climate change on the distribution and conservation of Cabo Verde endemic treespt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleChallenges, sources and solutions for resource curse hypothesis in sub saharan africa: an empirical study
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT//SFRH%2FBD%2F135354%2F2017/PT
oaire.citation.titleGlobal Ecology and Conservationpt_PT
person.familyNameRomeiras
person.givenNameMaria
person.identifier520836
person.identifier.ciencia-id6A1C-085E-9038
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9373-6302
person.identifier.ridJ-4552-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id15842082800
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationa66d151c-8bfa-4f32-ba8e-b20f9870ba24
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverya66d151c-8bfa-4f32-ba8e-b20f9870ba24
relation.isProjectOfPublicationd22eb306-3eb1-4f70-8ae1-992ee5ad0e05
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryd22eb306-3eb1-4f70-8ae1-992ee5ad0e05

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