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Systemic risk indicators : the case of Portugal

dc.contributor.advisorLuís, Jorge Jesus
dc.contributor.authorEilaghi, Sina Fazlollahzadeh
dc.date.accessioned2020-03-19T14:42:58Z
dc.date.available2020-03-19T14:42:58Z
dc.date.issued2020-01
dc.descriptionMestrado em Economia Monetária e Financeirapt_PT
dc.description.abstractThis dissertation is an effort to shed more light upon systemic risk of Portuguese financial systems. At first, companies listed in Portuguese stock market index (PSI-20) is considered, and then, the attention is shifted to banking system. Considering the first part, the PSI-20 index is considered as financial system index, and spillover effect and marginal risk contribution of companies to the system is detected. CoVaR and ΔCoVaR are the risk indicators used for this purpose. CoVaR shows the spillover effect of a company or system being distressed to another, and ΔCoVaR measures the contribution of a firm or system to another one if its state changes from median to distressed situation. Secondly, banking system of Portugal is considered separately, and the same indicators are used to quantify the linkage of banks and the system. It is concluded that BCP is adding less risk to other banks and the system compared to the risk contributed to it. Thirdly, the spillover effect and risk contribution of major international banks on Portuguese banking system and vice versa are analysed to figure out which banks affect Portuguese financial system more in case of being distressed, and the other way around. Lastly, we estimated CoVaR and ΔCoVaR for BES. Since BES was resolved in 2014, it sounded interesting to detect which international banks were more affected by the event, and which one contributed more risk to it. The conclusion was that the Portuguese banking system and BES is more linked to European banks that others.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationEilaghi, Sina Fazlollahzadeh (2019). "Systemic risk indicators : the case of Portugal", Dissertação de Mestrado. Universidade de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão.pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/19925
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.publisherInstituto Superior de Economia e Gestãopt_PT
dc.subjectRisco sistêmicopt_PT
dc.subjectInstituições financeiraspt_PT
dc.subjectCrises financeiraspt_PT
dc.subjectIndicadores de Riscopt_PT
dc.subjectSistema financeiropt_PT
dc.subjectSystemic Riskpt_PT
dc.subjectFinancial Institutionspt_PT
dc.subjectFinancial Crisespt_PT
dc.subjectRisk Indicatorspt_PT
dc.subjectFinancial Systempt_PT
dc.titleSystemic risk indicators : the case of Portugalpt_PT
dc.typemaster thesis
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typemasterThesispt_PT

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