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The impact of inflation risk on forward trading and production

dc.contributor.authorBroll, Udo
dc.contributor.authorKit Pong, Wong
dc.date.accessioned2018-06-27T12:28:13Z
dc.date.available2018-06-27T12:28:13Z
dc.date.issued2015-12
dc.description.abstractThis paper examines the behavior of a competitive firm that faces joint price and inflation risk. Given that the price risk is negatively correlated with the inflation risk in the sense of expectation dependence, we show that the firm optimally opts for an over-hedge (under-hedge) if the firm’s coefficient of relative risk aversion is everywhere no greater (no smaller) than unity. We show further that banning the firm from forward trading may induce the firm to produce more or less, depending on whether the price risk premium is positive or negative, respectively. While the price risk premium is unambiguously negative in the absence of the inflation risk, it is not the case when the inflation risk prevails. In contrast to the conventional wisdom, forward hedging needs not always promote production should firms take inflation seriously.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationBroll, Udo e Kit Pong Wong (2015). "The impact of inflation risk on forward trading and production". Portuguese Economic Journal, 14(1-3):65-73pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10258-015-0109-ypt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1617-982X (print)
dc.identifier.issn1617-9838 (online)
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/15732
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherSpringer Verlagpt_PT
dc.subjectForward hedgingpt_PT
dc.subjectExpectation dependencept_PT
dc.subjectInflation riskpt_PT
dc.subjectProductionpt_PT
dc.titleThe impact of inflation risk on forward trading and productionpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceLisboapt_PT
oaire.citation.endPage73pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue1-3pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage65pt_PT
oaire.citation.titlePortuguese Economic Journalpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume14pt_PT
rcaap.rightsclosedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT

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