A carregar...
Publicação
Pay and unemployment determinants of migration flows in the European Union
Orientador(es)
Resumo(s)
We analyze the migration drivers within the European Union countries. For a set of 23 EU
countries over the 1995-2019 period, we use Bayesian Model Averaging and quantile
regression to assess notably the relevance of unemployment and earnings. We find that the
existence of a common border increases the number of net migrants by 172 people per 1000
inhabitants. In addition, 1000 PPP Euro increase in the difference in net annual salaries
increases net migration by approximately 50 and 42 people per 1000 inhabitants in a working
age of both countries under uniform and binomial-beta model prior, respectively. Moreover,
one percentage point increase in the difference in the unemployment rate is associated with an
increase in net immigration by approximately 6 and 3 persons by 1000 inhabitants in both
countries. These results are also corroborated with the quantile regression results. Hence,
human capital inside the EU is moving in search of higher cross-country earnings
Descrição
Palavras-chave
Migration flows Earnings Unemployment Bayesian Model Averaging Quantile regression EU
Contexto Educativo
Citação
Afonso, António, José Alves e Krzysztof Beck (2022). "Pay and unemployment determinants of migration flows in the European Union". REM Working paper series, nº 0251/2022
Editora
ISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematics