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Abstract(s)
O crescimento económico depende do desenvolvimento das infraestruturas de transporte enquanto importantes forças motrizes que procuram conectar diferentes regiões para promover o bem-estar social. As infraestruturas de transporte têm um efeito de transbordo espacial positivo no crescimento económico. No entanto, o fraco investimento em infraestruturas de transporte torna a economia angolana cada vez mais fraca, o que leva várias províncias, em especial do interior, ao subdesenvolvimento e ao baixo crescimento económico devido ao fraco fluxo comercial.
Para além de Luanda, as restantes províncias não têm infraestruturas de transporte qualificadas. Este aspeto torna-as províncias muito vulneráveis, com acesso muito reduzido a bens de consumo (alimentos, vestuário, calçado, etc), aos sistemas de ensino e de saúde, à internet, a energia elétrica e a telecomunicações. As províncias do interior adquirem os bens de consumo importados a preços elevados e com demoras significativas. Os agricultores que se encontram nestas localidades enfrentam muitas dificuldades em fazer chegar a sua produção aos centros urbanos. O comércio nestas regiões é extremamente precário.
A má condição das infraestruturas de transporte é o principal fator determinante que tem causado o baixo fluxo comercial, o fraco desenvolvimento e os elevados custos de transporte e distribuição de produtos em Angola. Neste contexto, a análise do impacto do investimento em infraestruturas de transporte no crescimento da economia angolana torna-se relevante na medida em que poderá ajudar a compreender a dinâmica do crescimento da economia angolana, bem como a urgente necessidade de reabilitar e expandir as infraestruturas de transporte de modo a conectar o país.
A análise do impacto económico do investimento em infraestruturas de trasporte tem uma capital importância na compreensão do crescimento socioeconómico do país, pois as infraestruturas de transporte e a logística desempenham um papel muito importante, facilitando o fluxo de pessoas, bens e serviços no país, bem como na região da SADC. Por esta razão, a reabilitação, a expansão e a modernização das infraestruturas de transporte são necessárias para o fortalecimento da economia angolana.
Dada a importância desta questão, este estudo analisa o impacto do investimento de Angola nas suas infraestruturas de transporte entre os anos 2000-2020. Esta tese apresenta os resultados de uma pesquisa baseada numa revisão sistemática de literatura e na implementação da técnica econométrica Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL),
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que serve de instrumento para analisar o impacto do investimento em infraestruturas de transporte no crescimento da economia angolana.
De um modo geral, os resultados indicam que com exceção do investimento em infraestruturas aeroportuárias, as demais formas de investimento em infraestruturas de transportes impactaram positivamente o crescimento do PIB per capita angolano no curto prazo. Já no longo prazo, o teste do ajustamento da correção do erro indica que todas as variáveis impactaram o crescimento do PIB per capita negativamente.
Economic growth depends on the development of transportation infrastructure as important driving forces that seek to connect different regions in order to promote social welfare in the country. Transportation infrastructure has a positive spatial spillover effect on economic growth. However, poor investment in transport infrastructure makes the Angolan economy increasingly weak, which leads several provinces, especially those in the interior, to underdevelopment and low economic growth due to incipient trade flows. Outside of Luanda, the other provinces have no qualified transport infrastructure. This aspect makes them very vulnerable provinces with very limited access to consumer goods (food, clothing, footwear, etc), to the education and health systems, to the internet, electricity and telecommunications. The interior provinces acquire imported consumer goods at a high price and at irregular times. The farmers in these localities face many difficulties in moving their produce from the countryside to the urban centers. Trade in these regions is extremely precarious. The poor condition of the transportation infrastructure is the main determining factor that has caused the low flow of trade, poor development and high costs of transporting and distributing products in Angola. In this context, analyzing the impact of the investment in transport infrastructure on the growth of the Angola economy becomes relevant in that it can help to understand the growth dynamics of the Angolan economy, as well as the urgent need to rehabilitate and expand transportation infrastructure in order to connect the country. Analyzing the economic impact of investment in transport infrastructure is of paramount importance in understanding the country´s socio-economic growth, as transport infrastructure and logistics play an important role in facilitating the flow of people, goods and services in the country, as well as in the SADC region. For this reason, the rehabilitation, expansion and modernization of transport infrastructure is necessary to strengthen the national economy. Given importance of this issue, this study analyzes the impact of Angola´s investment in its transport infrastructure between the years 2000-2020. The thesis this presents the results of research based on a systematic literature review and on the implementation of the Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) econometric technique, which serveas as a tool for analyzing the impact of investment in transport infrastructure on the growth of the Angolan economy. viii In general, the results indicate that with the exception of investment in airport infrastructure, the other kinds of investment in transport infrastructure have had a positive impact on GDP per capita growth in Angola in the short run. In the long run, the error correction adjustment test indicates that all variables impacted negatively the growth of GDP per capita.
Economic growth depends on the development of transportation infrastructure as important driving forces that seek to connect different regions in order to promote social welfare in the country. Transportation infrastructure has a positive spatial spillover effect on economic growth. However, poor investment in transport infrastructure makes the Angolan economy increasingly weak, which leads several provinces, especially those in the interior, to underdevelopment and low economic growth due to incipient trade flows. Outside of Luanda, the other provinces have no qualified transport infrastructure. This aspect makes them very vulnerable provinces with very limited access to consumer goods (food, clothing, footwear, etc), to the education and health systems, to the internet, electricity and telecommunications. The interior provinces acquire imported consumer goods at a high price and at irregular times. The farmers in these localities face many difficulties in moving their produce from the countryside to the urban centers. Trade in these regions is extremely precarious. The poor condition of the transportation infrastructure is the main determining factor that has caused the low flow of trade, poor development and high costs of transporting and distributing products in Angola. In this context, analyzing the impact of the investment in transport infrastructure on the growth of the Angola economy becomes relevant in that it can help to understand the growth dynamics of the Angolan economy, as well as the urgent need to rehabilitate and expand transportation infrastructure in order to connect the country. Analyzing the economic impact of investment in transport infrastructure is of paramount importance in understanding the country´s socio-economic growth, as transport infrastructure and logistics play an important role in facilitating the flow of people, goods and services in the country, as well as in the SADC region. For this reason, the rehabilitation, expansion and modernization of transport infrastructure is necessary to strengthen the national economy. Given importance of this issue, this study analyzes the impact of Angola´s investment in its transport infrastructure between the years 2000-2020. The thesis this presents the results of research based on a systematic literature review and on the implementation of the Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) econometric technique, which serveas as a tool for analyzing the impact of investment in transport infrastructure on the growth of the Angolan economy. viii In general, the results indicate that with the exception of investment in airport infrastructure, the other kinds of investment in transport infrastructure have had a positive impact on GDP per capita growth in Angola in the short run. In the long run, the error correction adjustment test indicates that all variables impacted negatively the growth of GDP per capita.
Description
Keywords
Angola Infraestruturas de Transporte Investimento Público Crescimento Económico Impacto Económico Transporte Infrastructure Public Investment Economic Growth Economic Impact
Pedagogical Context
Citation
Campos, Pedro Manuel (2025). " O impacto do investimento em infraestruturas de transporte no crescimento da economia angolana". Tese de Doutoramento. Universidade de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão.
Publisher
Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão