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Capital flows, long term bond yields and fiscal stance : the Eurozone policy trilemma

dc.contributor.authorCanale, Rosaria Rita
dc.date.accessioned2018-06-27T12:38:19Z
dc.date.available2018-06-27T12:38:19Z
dc.date.issued2015-12
dc.description.abstractThe paper aims at estimating the existence of a trilemma in the Eurozone, i.e., to assess to what extent the net capital flows, the volatility of bond yields and the fiscal stance are strictly linked to each other constraining countries’ ability to manage the internal policy goals. The existence of constraints on policy alternatives is estimated for 11 Eurozone countries from 2002 till 2012. The sample is then divided into pre- (2002–2008) and post-crisis (2009–2012) periods. A further division between the PIIGS and the non-PIIGS is then applied. The results show the validity of the trilemma for the whole Euro area and for the whole period but with some distinction between the pre- and post-crisis periods and between the PIIGS and the non-PIIGS countries. The existence of the trilemma underlines the presence of national constraints and suggests, for the future of the Eurozone, to push towards centralized fiscal policy instruments.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationCanale, Rosaria Rita (2015). "Capital flows, long term bond yields and fiscal stance : the Eurozone policy trilemma". Portuguese Economic Journal, 14(1-3):31-44pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10258-015-0110-5pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1617-982X (print)
dc.identifier.issn1617-9838 (online)
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/15734
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherSpringer Verlagpt_PT
dc.subjectEurozone trilemmapt_PT
dc.subjectPolicy goalspt_PT
dc.subjectCapital flowspt_PT
dc.subjectFiscal stancept_PT
dc.subjectBond yieldspt_PT
dc.titleCapital flows, long term bond yields and fiscal stance : the Eurozone policy trilemmapt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceLisboapt_PT
oaire.citation.endPage44pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue1-3pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage31pt_PT
oaire.citation.titlePortuguese Economic Journalpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume14pt_PT
rcaap.rightsclosedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT

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