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Modelos mentais de cheias rápidas e deslizamentos de terras : um estudo exploratório no população do concelho Funchal
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Orientador(es)
Resumo(s)
No presente estudo aplicou-se a metodologia dos modelos mentais, proposta por Morgan,
Fischhoff, Bostrom & Atman (2002) na obra Risk communication: A mental models
approach ao contexto das cheias rápidas e dos deslizamentos no Funchal (ilha da Madeira).
Numa primeira fase, tendo como base a revisão bibliográfica e os modelos científicos
de cheias rápidas e deslizamentos de terras propostos por Wagner (2007), foram realizadas 20
entrevistas de modelos mentais (10 experts e 10 leigos). Estas entrevistas permitiram explanar
os modelos mentais dos experts e dos leigos em relação aos fenómenos em estudo. Forneceram
também elementos para a criação de um questionário confirmatório (N = 260) aplicado
a indivíduos residentes no concelho do Funchal.
Verificou-se, tal como se esperava, que os leigos entrevistados possuíam um modelo
mental com certas lacunas em relação ao dos experts, mas ainda assim, com alguma exactidão.
Também se confirmou a existência de diferenças significativas entre a percepção de risco
de indivíduos que vivem em freguesias com elevada perigosidade natural em relação a
cheias rápidas e deslizamentos de terras.
In the present study, a mental models methodology proposed by Morgan, Fischhoff, Bostrom & Atman (2002) in their work Risk communication: A mental models approach was applied to flash floods and landslides context in Funchal (Madeira Island). In a first phase, with the underlying support from the literature research and the scientific models of flash floods and landslides proposed by Wagner (2007), 20 mental models interviews were conducted (10 experts and 10 lay people). These interviews permitted illustrate the experts and lay people mental models in relation to the studied phenomenon. Also, these interviews provided the necessary elements to create a confirmatory questionnaire applied to individuals residing in Funchal. As expected, it was verified that the lay people presented a mental model with some gaps in relation to the experts, but with some degree of accuracy. Also it was confirmed the existence of significant differences between the risk perception in individuals living in areas with high natural hazard, in relation to flash floods and landslides.
In the present study, a mental models methodology proposed by Morgan, Fischhoff, Bostrom & Atman (2002) in their work Risk communication: A mental models approach was applied to flash floods and landslides context in Funchal (Madeira Island). In a first phase, with the underlying support from the literature research and the scientific models of flash floods and landslides proposed by Wagner (2007), 20 mental models interviews were conducted (10 experts and 10 lay people). These interviews permitted illustrate the experts and lay people mental models in relation to the studied phenomenon. Also, these interviews provided the necessary elements to create a confirmatory questionnaire applied to individuals residing in Funchal. As expected, it was verified that the lay people presented a mental model with some gaps in relation to the experts, but with some degree of accuracy. Also it was confirmed the existence of significant differences between the risk perception in individuals living in areas with high natural hazard, in relation to flash floods and landslides.
Descrição
Tese de mestrado, Psicologia (Secção de Cognição Social Aplicada), Universidade de Lisboa, Faculdade de Psicologia, 2013
Palavras-chave
Modelos mentais Percepção do risco Deslizamentos (Geologia) Teses de mestrado - 2013