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The susceptibility of urban areas in Europe to vector-borne diseases spread by the Asian Tiger mosquito

2022-07-25Conference object Open access
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dc.contributor.authorOliveira, Sandra
dc.contributor.authorRocha, Jorge
dc.contributor.authorCapinha, César
dc.date.accessioned2022-11-29T15:15:14Z
dc.date.available2022-11-29T15:15:14Z
dc.date.issued2022-07-25
dc.description.abstractThe Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) is now present in nearly all continentspresent in all populated continents and it is widening its range in temperate regions. As a competent vector to numerous diseases, including dengue, Zika and Chikungunya viruses, public health concerns have encouraged intense research and modelling efforts to assess the suitability to the mosquito in different regions. We evaluated the level of consensus between several model results covering Europe, to identify hotspots of high and low suitability, as well as the areas with higher uncertainty. We analysed the possible variations of suitability levels between present-day and future climatic conditions and identified 9 potential trajectories. Results show strong inter-model consensus regarding the future expansion of the mosquito to northern and eastern Europe, with suitable areas with low uncertainty covering 70% of the study area, whereas no decrease in suitability is expected. We analysed the potential trajectories for 65 large urban areas and found that 83% are predicted suitable to the introduction of the mosquito in the future. Cities located in northern Europe show the most drastic changes, varying from currently unsuitable to certainly suitable. None of the cities analysed is predicted as unsuitable in future climatic scenarios. These results can help defining research pathways for further modelling efforts and show the importance of planning for vector surveillance and control, even in places where Ae. albopictus and the risk of vector-borne diseases is currently absent but is expected to increase in future.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationOliveira, S. Rocha, J. Capinha, C. (2022). The susceptibility of urban areas in Europe to vector-borne diseases spread by the Asian Tiger mosquito, AESOP 2022 Congress Space for Species: Redefining Spatial Justice, Tartu, Estonia, July 25-29.pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/55277
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.relationhealTh RIsk and social vulnerability to Arboviral Diseases in mainland portugal
dc.subjectSuitabilitypt_PT
dc.subjectModelspt_PT
dc.subjectClimate changept_PT
dc.subjectScenariospt_PT
dc.subjectEuropept_PT
dc.subjectAedes albopictuspt_PT
dc.titleThe susceptibility of urban areas in Europe to vector-borne diseases spread by the Asian Tiger mosquitopt_PT
dc.typeconference object
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitlehealTh RIsk and social vulnerability to Arboviral Diseases in mainland portugal
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/3599-PPCDT/PTDC%2FGES-OUT%2F30210%2F2017/PT
oaire.citation.titleAESOP 2022 Congress Space for Species: Redefining Spatial Justicept_PT
oaire.fundingStream3599-PPCDT
person.familyNameOliveira
person.familyNameRocha
person.familyNameCapinha
person.givenNameSandra
person.givenNameJorge
person.givenNameCésar
person.identifier0000000069085031
person.identifier.ciencia-id8A16-4976-FD63
person.identifier.ciencia-idEC15-76DC-9B96
person.identifier.ciencia-id7714-2A88-CDE3
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6253-4353
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7228-6330
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0666-9755
person.identifier.ridAAK-5051-2020
person.identifier.ridF-3185-2017
person.identifier.ridK-6439-2017
person.identifier.scopus-author-id17435272900
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56428061000
person.identifier.scopus-author-id32867555000
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeconferenceObjectpt_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationd30eb4c5-8ef1-426b-8e80-baa646b30f0e
relation.isAuthorOfPublication9c7dabc1-d6c6-4636-9293-6babe2ba64c9
relation.isAuthorOfPublication4c666e7e-4ba8-4a41-8064-d26b3b9fc0f8
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery4c666e7e-4ba8-4a41-8064-d26b3b9fc0f8
relation.isProjectOfPublication53ac187b-cc72-4cb4-aa13-87634d1eb964
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscovery53ac187b-cc72-4cb4-aa13-87634d1eb964

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