Portuguese Economic Journal, 2017, Volume 16, Nº 2
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- Portfolio choice with high frequency data : CRRA preferences and the liquidity effectPublication . Brito, R.P.; Sebastião, H.; Godinho, P.This paper suggests a new approach for portfolio choice. In this frame- work, the investor, with CRRA preferences, has two objectives: the maximization of the expected utility and the minimization of the portfolio expected illiquidity. The CRRA utility is measured using the portfolio realized volatility, realized skewness and realized kurtosis, while the portfolio illiquidity is measured using the well-known Amihud illiquidity ratio. Therefore, the investor is able to make her choices directly in the expected utility/liquidity (EU/L) bi-dimensional space. We conduct an empiri- cal analysis in a set of fourteen stocks of the CAC 40 stock market index, using high frequency data for the time span from January 1999 to December 2005 (seven years). The robustness of the proposed model is checked according to the out-of-sample per- formance of different EU/L portfolios relative to the minimum variance and equally weighted portfolios. For different risk aversion levels, the EU/L portfolios are quite competitive and in several cases consistently outperform those benchmarks, in terms of utility, liquidity and certainty equivalent.
- Migration outflows and optimal migration policy: rules versus discretionPublication . Issifou, Ismael; Magris, FrancescoWe study the effects of more open borders on return migration and show that migrants are more likely to return to the origin country when migration rules are softened, because this implies that they could more easily re-migrate if return migration is unsuccessful. As a result, softening migration rules leads to lower net inflows than is generally acknowledged. We show that if government follows rules to shape the optimal migration policy, it will choose more open “borders” than were its behaviour to be discretionary. However, this requires an appropriate commitment technology. We show that electoral accountability may be a solution to the commitment problem. As a matter of fact, observed softer immigration rules in western countries suggest the effectiveness of such a mechanism.
- One-period pricing strategy of 'money doctors' under cumulative prospect theoryPublication . Liurui, Deng; Zilan, LiuWe focus on the interaction between investors and portfolio managers, employing a cumulative prospect theory approach to the investor's preferences. ln an original way, we model trust in the manager and the relative anxiety about investing in a risky asset. Moreover, we investigate how tmst and anxiety affect the manager's fee and the portfolios of cumulative prospect theory investors. The novelty of our contribution relative to previous work is that we rely on cumulative prospect theory(CPT) rather than the classical mean-variance framework. Moreover, our research differs from traditional CPT work through an improved value function that accurately characterizes the reduction in anxiety suffered by the CPT investors from bearing risk when assisted by the portfolio managers' help relative to when they lack such assistance. Our results differ in several respects from those obtained when using on classical preferences. First, the optimal fees are not symmetric. Specially, the dominant managers obtain higher fees than subordinate managers regardless of changes in risk of risky assets (a risky asset) and changes in the dispersion of trust in the population. Another difference is that these fees are not proportional to expected returns. ln particular, the optimal fees increase nonlinearly as risk of risky assets (a risky asset) increases and the dispersion of trust in the population increases.