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A interação da prospetiva e inteligência estratégicas no âmbito da gestão estratégica de Defesa. Estudo de caso do Reino Unido
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Resumo(s)
Este trabalho examina a interação da Inteligência Estratégica (IE) com a prospeção estratégica (PE) no contexto da gestão estratégica de defesa, usando o estudo de caso do Reino Unido (RU). O foco está na compreensão em como a interação da IE com a PE pode aprimorar a construção da gestão estratégica de Defesa do RU. Para tanto, são caracterizadas e analisadas a Política de Defesa e a gestão estratégica de Defesa do RU em moldura temporal desde o pós-guerra (1948) até os dias atuais.
O estudo aponta que essa interação fornece perspetiva complementar mais abrangente e de longo prazo para a IE, permitindo uma melhor compreensão de potenciais ameaças e oportunidades futuras. No entanto, esta interação enfrenta obstáculos, incluindo a dificuldade de integrar a PE - de longo prazo - com as necessidades de Inteligência (de mais curto prazo) e a falta de uma estrutura consolidada quanto ao acesso e sigilos para a cooperação entre diferentes partes interessadas na Defesa.
Ademais, são identificados oportunidades, óbices e desafios da IE para a construção da gestão estratégica em política de Defesa no caso do Reino Unido. O trabalho de pesquisa indica que cabe à IE moldar o futuro, sendo grande o número de variáveis, extensa a moldura temporal, grande quantidade de atores envolvidos e suscetíveis a variadas pressões ampliando o dinamismo, a interação e a expectativa de maior demanda e menor tempo disponível de resposta e em várias dimensões. Espera-se, por conseguinte, diminuir, do ponto de vista da inteligência - no processo de gestão estratégica, a deficiência de maior, melhor e mais rápida produção de conhecimento.
As descobertas contribuem para a reflexão futura e trabalhos acadêmicos fornecendo insights práticos para prospetores e operadores de Inteligência no âmbito da gestão estratégica de Defesa sobre os potenciais aprimoramentos e desafios da interação em causa.
This research work examines the interaction of Strategic Intelligence (SI) with strategic foresight (SF) in the context of strategic defense management, using the case study of the United Kingdom (UK). The focus is on understanding how the interaction of SI with the SF can improve the construction of the strategic defense management of the UK. To this end, the Defense Policy and the strategic management of Defense of the UK are characterized and analyzed in a time frame from the post-war (1948) to the present day. The study points out that this interaction provides a more comprehensive and long-term complementary perspective for SI, allowing a better understanding of potential threats and future opportunities. However, this interaction faces obstacles, including the difficulty of integrating the long-term SF with the needs of Intelligence (shorter term) and the lack of a consolidated structure regarding access and secrecy for cooperation between different stakeholders in Defense. In addition, opportunities, obstacles, and challenges of SI are identified in the building of strategic management in defense policy in the case of the United Kingdom. The research indicates that it is up to SI shape the future, with many variables, an extensive time frame, many actors involved and susceptible to various pressures, expanding the dynamism, interaction and expectation of greater demand and less available response time and in various dimensions. It is expected, in the process of strategic management, to reduce from the point of view of intelligence, the deficiency of greater, better, and faster production of knowledge. The findings contribute to future reflection and academic work by providing practical insights to intelligence prospects and operators in the context of strategic defense management on the potential improvements and challenges of the interaction in question.
This research work examines the interaction of Strategic Intelligence (SI) with strategic foresight (SF) in the context of strategic defense management, using the case study of the United Kingdom (UK). The focus is on understanding how the interaction of SI with the SF can improve the construction of the strategic defense management of the UK. To this end, the Defense Policy and the strategic management of Defense of the UK are characterized and analyzed in a time frame from the post-war (1948) to the present day. The study points out that this interaction provides a more comprehensive and long-term complementary perspective for SI, allowing a better understanding of potential threats and future opportunities. However, this interaction faces obstacles, including the difficulty of integrating the long-term SF with the needs of Intelligence (shorter term) and the lack of a consolidated structure regarding access and secrecy for cooperation between different stakeholders in Defense. In addition, opportunities, obstacles, and challenges of SI are identified in the building of strategic management in defense policy in the case of the United Kingdom. The research indicates that it is up to SI shape the future, with many variables, an extensive time frame, many actors involved and susceptible to various pressures, expanding the dynamism, interaction and expectation of greater demand and less available response time and in various dimensions. It is expected, in the process of strategic management, to reduce from the point of view of intelligence, the deficiency of greater, better, and faster production of knowledge. The findings contribute to future reflection and academic work by providing practical insights to intelligence prospects and operators in the context of strategic defense management on the potential improvements and challenges of the interaction in question.
Descrição
Dissertação para obtenção de grau de Mestre em Estratégia
Palavras-chave
Estratégia; Inteligência Estratégica; Prospeção Estratégica; Gestão Estratégica de Defesa; tomada de decisão estratégica; Strategy; Strategic Intelligence; Strategic Foresight; Strategic Defence Management; strategic decision making.