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Assessing the current and future suitability to the Asian Tiger mosquito, a dengue and Zika vector, in major cities in Europe

dc.contributor.authorOliveira, Sandra
dc.contributor.authorRocha, Jorge
dc.contributor.authorCapinha, César
dc.contributor.authorSousa, Carla A.
dc.date.accessioned2022-11-29T15:17:23Z
dc.date.available2022-11-29T15:17:23Z
dc.date.issued2021-07-08
dc.description.abstractThe Asian Tiger mosquito is already established in many countries in Europe and cities are particularly vulnerable to the spread of vector-borne diseases. We evaluated the suitability of 62 large urban areas in Europe to the establishment of the mosquito, based on the level of agreement between published modelling results that estimated the spatial distribution of the Aedes albopictus. We classified suitability and uncertainty levels according to the number of matching models on a 25 km cell basis and retrieved the predominant class within the boundaries of each urban area. We analysed 7 models for current conditions and 5 for future conditions (2050-2080), as well as changes in classes between these two timeframes. Currently, 60% of the cities are suitable to the mosquito, 8% are unsuitable and 32% show high uncertainty. In the future, 87% will be suitable and none will be unsuitable, including cities in the British Isles and Scandinavia, which will have to adapt their public health policies.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationOliveira, S. Rocha, J., Sousa, C.A. Capinha, C. (2021). Assessing the current and future suitability to the Asian Tiger mosquito, a dengue and Zika vector, in major cities in Europe, 17th International Conference on Urban Health, Transforming our Collective Urban Future: Learning from COVID-19, Virtual, USA, July 6-8.pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/55278
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.relationhealTh RIsk and social vulnerability to Arboviral Diseases in mainland portugal
dc.subjectAedes albopictuspt_PT
dc.subjectsuitabilitypt_PT
dc.subjecturban areaspt_PT
dc.subjectfuture climatept_PT
dc.titleAssessing the current and future suitability to the Asian Tiger mosquito, a dengue and Zika vector, in major cities in Europept_PT
dc.typeconference object
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardNumberPTDC/GES-OUT/30210/2017
oaire.awardTitlehealTh RIsk and social vulnerability to Arboviral Diseases in mainland portugal
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/3599-PPCDT/PTDC%2FGES-OUT%2F30210%2F2017/PT
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceVirtual, EUApt_PT
oaire.citation.title17th International Conference on Urban Healthpt_PT
oaire.fundingStream3599-PPCDT
person.familyNameOliveira
person.familyNameRocha
person.familyNameCapinha
person.familyNameGama Carrilho da Costa Sousa
person.givenNameSandra
person.givenNameJorge
person.givenNameCésar
person.givenNameCarla Alexandra
person.identifier0000000069085031
person.identifier.ciencia-id8A16-4976-FD63
person.identifier.ciencia-idEC15-76DC-9B96
person.identifier.ciencia-id7714-2A88-CDE3
person.identifier.ciencia-id861D-9C3D-5E52
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6253-4353
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7228-6330
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0666-9755
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-2386-7577
person.identifier.ridAAK-5051-2020
person.identifier.ridF-3185-2017
person.identifier.ridK-6439-2017
person.identifier.scopus-author-id17435272900
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56428061000
person.identifier.scopus-author-id32867555000
person.identifier.scopus-author-id35901753500
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeconferenceObjectpt_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationd30eb4c5-8ef1-426b-8e80-baa646b30f0e
relation.isAuthorOfPublication9c7dabc1-d6c6-4636-9293-6babe2ba64c9
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