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Leveraging interest-growth differentials : hidden effects of government financial assets in the European Union

dc.contributor.authorAlves, José
dc.contributor.authorWagner, Clarisse
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-10T14:32:44Z
dc.date.available2024-01-10T14:32:44Z
dc.date.issued2024-01
dc.description.abstractConditions of fiscal sustainability have been widely studied in the literature. Fiscal reaction functions or cointegration between government revenues and expenditures are two approaches that economists have been paying their attention, not only on a theoretical perspective, but also empirically assessing the sustainability of several economies during different timespans. Whereas a predominant focus has been attributed to primary deficits, little attention has been dedicated to government financial assets contribution to government debt paths. Given that government financial assets represent a large proportion of gross debt accumulation, we enquire about their role on government debt leveraging of economic growth over interest rates, focusing on a channel of gross debt, investment, external balance and ratings, in 27 European Union economies during the period from 2000 to 2022. Large heterogeneities in the statistical characteristics of the series and impacts of financial assets on interest rate-growth rate differentials call for a closer attention to financial assets on a granular approach at individual country level, rather than on the aggregate. Our results highlight the importance of government financial assets holdings to the short and long-run debt trajectories, enhancing or potentially undermining gains from primary deficits consolidation efforts and consequently on the differentials between interest rates and output growth.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationAlves, José e Clarisse Wagner (2024). "Leveraging interest-growth differentials : hidden effects of government financial assets in the European Union". REM Working paper series, nº 0307/2024pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn2184-108X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/29757
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematicspt_PT
dc.relationUIDB/05069/2020pt_PT
dc.relation.ispartofseriesREM Working paper series;nº 0307/2024
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://rem.rc.iseg.ulisboa.pt/wps/pdf/REM_WP_0307_2024.pdfpt_PT
dc.subjectPublic debtpt_PT
dc.subjectStock Flow Adjustmentspt_PT
dc.subjectFinancial Assets Holdingspt_PT
dc.subjectARDLpt_PT
dc.subjectPMGpt_PT
dc.titleLeveraging interest-growth differentials : hidden effects of government financial assets in the European Unionpt_PT
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt_PT

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