A carregar...
Publicação
Money multiplier in a fixed exchange regime framework
| Nome: | Descrição: | Tamanho: | Formato: | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509.35 KB | Adobe PDF |
Autores
Orientador(es)
Resumo(s)
Este estudo apresenta uma nova abordagem empírica sobre o processo de multiplicador monetário, usando dados monetários mensais de Angola desde janeiro de 2012 até junho de 2018. O uso de um modelo ARDL permite testar a relação de longo prazo tanto do multiplicador monetário como da relação entre as reservas e os depósitos e considerar os ajustes de curto prazo a choques monetários. A análise foca principalmente o nível de concentração do sistema bancário, o grau de liquidez do passivo dos bancos e a taxa de juros como determinantes dos índices de longo prazo. Outros factores específicos do país, como o spread da taxa de câmbio e o rácio de incumprimentos, foram incluídos na análise, para considerar os desafios macroeconómicos de Angola. Concluiu-se que, de acordo com a teoria monetária, tanto a taxa de juros quanto o nível de concentração do sistema bancário afetam os índices de longo prazo. No entanto, a não significância estatística da liquidez das responsabilidades dos bancos permite uma recomendação política para a política monetária de Angola.
This study provides a new empirical approach about the money multiplier process, using monthly monetary data from Angola since January 2012 until June 2018. The use of an ARDL model allows to test the long run relationship of both the money multiplier and the reserve to deposit ratio and consider the short-term adjustments from monetary shocks. The analysis focuses mainly on the level of concentration of the banking system, the degree of liquidity of banks' liabilities and the interest rate as determinants of the long-term ratios. Other country specific factors such as the foreign exchange rate spread and the non-performing loans ratio have been included to the analysis, to consider Angola's macroeconomic challenges. It was concluded that according to monetary theory, both the interest rate and the level of concentration of the banking system affect the long-term ratios. However, the non-statistical significance of banks' liabilities liquidity opens a policy recommendation for Angola's monetary policy.
This study provides a new empirical approach about the money multiplier process, using monthly monetary data from Angola since January 2012 until June 2018. The use of an ARDL model allows to test the long run relationship of both the money multiplier and the reserve to deposit ratio and consider the short-term adjustments from monetary shocks. The analysis focuses mainly on the level of concentration of the banking system, the degree of liquidity of banks' liabilities and the interest rate as determinants of the long-term ratios. Other country specific factors such as the foreign exchange rate spread and the non-performing loans ratio have been included to the analysis, to consider Angola's macroeconomic challenges. It was concluded that according to monetary theory, both the interest rate and the level of concentration of the banking system affect the long-term ratios. However, the non-statistical significance of banks' liabilities liquidity opens a policy recommendation for Angola's monetary policy.
Descrição
Mestrado em Economia Monetária e Financeira
Palavras-chave
multiplicador monetário rácio reservas depósitos regime câmbios fixos concentração bancária money multiplier reserve deposit ratio fixed exchange regime bank concentration
Contexto Educativo
Citação
Martins, Ricardo David de Castro (2018). "Money multiplier in a fixed exchange regime framework". Dissertação de Mestrado, Universidade de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão.
Editora
Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão