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Time-varying fiscal policy in the U.S.

dc.contributor.authorPereira, Manuel Coutinho
dc.contributor.authorLopes, Artur Silva
dc.date.accessioned2022-05-24T15:46:22Z
dc.date.available2022-05-24T15:46:22Z
dc.date.issued2010-10
dc.description.abstractTo investigate time heterogeneity in the e¤ects of fiscal policy in theU.S., we use a non-recursive, Blanchard and Perotti-like structural VAR with time-varying parameters, estimated through Bayesian simulation over the 1965:2-2009:2 period. Our evidence suggests that fiscal policy has lost some capacity to stimulate output but that this trend is more pronounced for taxes net of transfers than for government expenditure, whose e¤ectiveness declines only slightly. Fiscal multipliers keep conventional signs throughout. An investigation of changes in fiscal policy conduct indicates an increase in the countercyclical activism of net taxes over time, which appears to have reached a maximum during the 2008-09 recession.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationPereira, Manuel Coutinho e Artur Silva Lopes .2010. “Time-varying fiscal policy in the U.S.” “)”. Banco de Portugal. Economic Research Department. Working Papers nº 21/ 2010pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn0870-0117
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/24362
dc.language.isospapt_PT
dc.relation.ispartofseriesBanco de Portugal. Economic Research Department. Working Papers nº 21/ 2010;
dc.subjectFiscal Policypt_PT
dc.subjectBayesian Estimationpt_PT
dc.subjectStructural Changept_PT
dc.subjectMacro- Economic Stabilizationpt_PT
dc.titleTime-varying fiscal policy in the U.S.pt_PT
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt_PT

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