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Assessing long-term fiscal developments : a new approach

dc.contributor.authorAfonso, António
dc.contributor.authorAgnello, Luca
dc.contributor.authorFurceri, Davide
dc.contributor.authorSousa, Ricardo M.
dc.date.accessioned2010-12-15T15:37:01Z
dc.date.available2010-12-15T15:37:01Z
dc.date.issued2009
dc.description.abstractWe use a new approach to assess long-term fiscal developments. By analyzing the timevarying behaviour of the two components of government spending and revenue – responsiveness and persistence – we are able to infer about the sources of fiscal behaviour. Drawing on quarterly data we estimate recursively these components within a system of government revenue and spending equations using a Three-Stage Least Square method. In this way we track fiscal developments, i.e. possible fiscal deteriorations and/or improvements for eight European Union countries plus the US. Results suggest that positions have not significantly changed for Finland, France, Germany, Spain, the United Kingdom and the US, whilst they have improved for Belgium, Italy, and the Netherlands.por
dc.identifier.citationAfonso, António ... [et al.]. 2009. "Assessing long-term fiscal developments : a new approach". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº19-2009/DE/UECEpor
dc.identifier.issn0874-4548
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2698
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.publisherISEG - Departamento de Economiapor
dc.relation.ispartofseriesDE/ Working papers nº 19-2009/DE/UECE
dc.subjectFiscal Deteriorationpor
dc.subjectFiscal Sustainabilitypor
dc.titleAssessing long-term fiscal developments : a new approachpor
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpor

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