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The role of susceptibility, exposure and vulnerability as drivers of flood disaster risk at the parish level

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dc.contributor.authorSantos, Pedro Pinto
dc.contributor.authorPereira, Susana
dc.contributor.authorRocha, Jorge
dc.contributor.authorReis, Eusébio
dc.contributor.authorSantos, Mónica
dc.contributor.authorOliveira, Sérgio
dc.contributor.authorGarcia, Ricardo
dc.contributor.authorMelo, Raquel
dc.contributor.authorZêzere, José
dc.date.accessioned2022-10-04T10:45:24Z
dc.date.available2022-10-04T10:45:24Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.description.abstractFluvial fooding continues to be a process that has a major impact on society, the environment and the economy. Although its natural triggering factors, the spatial confguration of exposure and vulnerability is expected to play a relevant role in explaining the damage records. The starting point of this research is the use of existing food susceptibility, exposure and social vulnerability mapping, produced at the parish level, as input data in a Classifcation and Regression Trees’ (CART) model. Two models were ran, autonomously, that use two databases of food damage as dependent variables: one including the human damages (fatalities, missing, injured, displaced and evacuated people) from food events—the DISASTER database; another one that sums the DISASTER cases and the lower impact damages (damages to roads, railroads and buildings). The results show a quite distinct classifcation of parishes, whether one database is used or the other. The DISASTER database reveals susceptibility as the most relevant food risk driver in explaining the damage patterns, while the database with all the food cases identifes exposure as the more relevant driver. In the end, the degree of damages as documented in databases is conditioned by the geographical distribution and overlay confguration of the three food risk drivers. Finally, the CART classifcation groups are analyzed at the light of the European Union’s Floods Directive areas of signifcant potential food risk. This analysis showed that the Directive’s parishes are interpreted diferently—in terms of their positioning in face of the risk drivers—which is explained by the use of distinct impacting-criteria in the construction of the food damage databases.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationSantos, P. P., Pereira, S., Rocha, J., Reis, E., Santos, M., Oliveira, S. C., Garcia, R. A. C., Melo, R. & Zêzere, J. L. (2022). The Role of Susceptibility, Exposure and Vulnerability as Drivers of Flood Disaster Risk at the Parish Level. Environmental Earth Sciences, 81(19), 465. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-022-10589-1pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s12665-022-10589-1pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1866-6280
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/54691
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherSpringerpt_PT
dc.relationRISKCOAST-Development of tools to prevent and manage geological risks on the coast linked to climate change (SOE3/P4/EO868, Interreg Sudoe)pt_PT
dc.relationMIT-RSC-Multi-risk interactions toward resilient and sustainable cities (MIT-EXPL/CS/0018/2019, Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology I.P. (FCT))pt_PT
dc.relationBeSafeSlide—Landslide Early Warning soft technology prototype to improve community resilience and adaptation to environmental change (PTDC/GES-AMB/30052/2017)pt_PT
dc.relationNot Available
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12665-022-10589-1pt_PT
dc.subjectFloodspt_PT
dc.subjectDamagespt_PT
dc.subjectRegression treespt_PT
dc.subjectDatabasespt_PT
dc.subjectRisk driverspt_PT
dc.titleThe role of susceptibility, exposure and vulnerability as drivers of flood disaster risk at the parish levelpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardNumberCEECIND/00268/2017/CP1405/CT0001
oaire.awardTitleNot Available
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/CEEC IND 2017/CEECIND%2F00268%2F2017%2FCP1405%2FCT0001/PT
oaire.citation.issue19pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage465pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleEnvironmental Earth Sciencespt_PT
oaire.citation.volume81pt_PT
oaire.fundingStreamCEEC IND 2017
person.familyNameSantos
person.familyNameda Silva Pereira
person.familyNameRocha
person.familyNameReis
person.familyNameOliveira
person.familyNameGarcia
person.familyNameMelo
person.familyNameZêzere
person.givenNamePedro Pinto
person.givenNameSusana
person.givenNameJorge
person.givenNameEusébio
person.givenNameSérgio
person.givenNameR.A.C.
person.givenNameRaquel
person.givenNameJosé Luís
person.identifier0000000069085031
person.identifierH-9956-2013
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person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9785-0180
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9674-0964
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person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-0883-8564
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-1036-6271
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8111-8777
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-3953-673X
person.identifier.ridD-7076-2014
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person.identifier.scopus-author-id6507109389
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsclosedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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