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Do households care about cash? Exploring the heterogeneous effects of India's demonetization

dc.contributor.authorKarmakar, Sudipto
dc.contributor.authorNarayanan, Abhinav
dc.date.accessioned2019-02-19T14:31:25Z
dc.date.available2019-02-19T14:31:25Z
dc.date.issued2019-02
dc.description.abstractThe recent demonetization exercise in India is a unique monetary experiment that made 86 percent of the total currency in circulation invalid. In a country where currency in circulation constitutes 12 percent of GDP, the policy turned out to be a purely exogenous macroeconomic shock that affected all agents of the economy. This paper documents the impact of this macroeconomic shock on one such systematically important agent of the economy: the household. By construction, the policy helped households with bank accounts in disposing of the demonetized cash. We use a new household-level data set to tease out the effects of this policy on households with no bank accounts relative to households with bank accounts. Our results show that the impact of demonetization on household income and expenditure has been transient with the major impact being seen in December-2016. We find that households with no bank accounts experienced a significant decrease in both income and expenditure in December-2016. There is significant heterogeneity in the impact across households in different asset classes. We also show evidence of recovery of household finances whereby households were able to smooth out consumption during the post-demonetization period. However, this recovery phase is associated with an increase in household borrowing from different sources, primarily for the purpose of consumption. In particular, informal borrowing (money lenders, shops) increased substantially during this period. Thus, the policy although transient in nature, contributed to the unintended consequence of increased leverage for households.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationKarmakar, Sudipto e Maria João Santos (1994). "Do households care about cash? Exploring the heterogeneous effects of India's demonetization". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão – REM Working paper nº 073 - 2019pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn2184-108X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/17373
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematicspt_PT
dc.relation.ispartofseriesREM Working paper;nº 073 - 2019
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://rem.rc.iseg.ulisboa.pt/wps/pdf/REM_WP_073_2019.pdfpt_PT
dc.subjectDemonetizationpt_PT
dc.subjectHousehold financept_PT
dc.subjectLeveragept_PT
dc.titleDo households care about cash? Exploring the heterogeneous effects of India's demonetizationpt_PT
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt_PT

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