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Biological models with seasonality

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Seasonally forced biological models play a crucial role in epidemiology, particularly in determining the ability of an infectious disease to invade and persist in a population. Central to this analysis is the basic reproduction number, popularly denoted by R0 - the average number of new infections produced by an infected individual, during the infection period and in a completely susceptible population. Its definition has been precisely established for a large class of compartmental epidemic models in periodic environments and it is well-known that it is a threshold from the stability of these systems. This dissertation aims to study the dynamics of a seasonally forced SIR model with an emphasis on the existence and stability of endemic periodic solutions, following the work [14] by Ruiz-Herrera.

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Tese de Mestrado, Matemática, 2024, Universidade de Lisboa, Faculdade de Ciências

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Modelos epidemiológicos Sazonalidade SIR Sistemas não-autónomos Teses de mestrado - 2024

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