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Long-term government bond yelds and economic forecast : evidence for the EU

dc.contributor.authorAfonso, António
dc.date.accessioned2010-04-14T13:15:05Z
dc.date.available2010-04-14T13:15:05Z
dc.date.issued2009
dc.description.abstractI use a panel of semi-annual vintages of growth and fiscal forecasts of the European Commission, covering the period 1998:II-2008:II, to assess its effects on 10-year government yields for 14 EU countries. Results show that yields increase with better growth forecasts, and with decreases in budget balance-to-GDP ratios, signalling that sovereigns may need to pay more to finance in the market higher budget deficits.pt
dc.identifier.citationAfonso, António. 2009. "Long-term government bond yelds and economic forecast : evidence for the EU". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão – DE working papers nº 38-2009/DE/UECE.pt
dc.identifier.issn0874-4548
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/1822
dc.language.isoengpt
dc.publisherISEG - Departamento de Economiapt
dc.relation.ispartofseriesDE/ Working papers nº 38/2009/DE/UECE
dc.subjectInterest Ratespt
dc.subjectMacro Forecastspt
dc.subjectEuropean Unionpt
dc.titleLong-term government bond yelds and economic forecast : evidence for the EUpt
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt

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