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Prime ministers in the age of austerity: an increase in the personalisation of voting behaviour
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Orientador(es)
Resumo(s)
This article tests the personalisation thesis in Portugal (2002–2015), as well as its
causes, focusing on changes in the level of party identification and perceptions
of the economy. Portugal is an interesting example given its recent experience
of a harsh economic crisis, as well as a decline in party identification. Results
confirm a growing exogenous impact of leader evaluations on voting over the
period but not in a linear fashion. During the crisis, the growing trend of leader
effects for the incumbent party continues for those voters who have a positive
perception of the economy. Conversely, for the main opposition party, leader
effects are greater for those who perceive the economy as being worse. Thus the
crisis operates as a catalyst for leader effects. The impact of leaders is also greater
among the de-aligned, the numbers of which rise considerably during the period
under analysis. It is voters with no party identification, who use leaders as proxies
to a greater extent. These conclusions may extend to further studies on leader
effects in Western democracies and help to shed light on the process through
which leaders are becoming more relevant in voting decisions.
Descrição
Palavras-chave
Leader effects personalisation of politics voting behaviour elections Great Recession ortugal
Contexto Educativo
Citação
Lobo, M. C., Silva, F. F. (2017). Prime ministers in the age of austerity: an increase in the personalisation of voting behaviour, West European Politics
Editora
Routledge