Publication
A Tale of Two Elections: Information, Motivated Reasoning, and the Economy in the 2011 and 2015 Portuguese Elections
| dc.contributor.author | Magalhães, Pedro C. | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2018-02-19T15:51:22Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2018-02-19T15:51:22Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2017 | |
| dc.description.abstract | A tale of two elections: information, motivated reasoning, and the economy in the 2011 and 2015 Portuguese elections. Economic performance is thought to be a powerful driver of incumbent electoral performance, and gdp growth and unemployment to be the “big two” factors involved. However, while in the 2011 elections, under a profound economic recession and growing unemployment, the Socialist incumbents lost about one-fourth of the electorate, the center-right coalition experienced losses of similar magnitude in 2015 under a recovering economy and growing employment. Why has this happened? I explore three hypotheses: (1) the economy became a less salient issue in 2015; (2) responsibility for economic outcomes became more blurred in 2015; and (3) national economic evaluations were more contaminated by partisanship and affected by cognitive resources and personal economic experiences in 2015. | pt_PT |
| dc.description.version | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion | pt_PT |
| dc.identifier.issn | 0003-2573 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10451/31811 | |
| dc.language.iso | eng | pt_PT |
| dc.peerreviewed | yes | pt_PT |
| dc.publisher | Imprensa Ciências Sociais | pt_PT |
| dc.subject | Elections | pt_PT |
| dc.subject | Economic voting | pt_PT |
| dc.subject | motivated reasoning | pt_PT |
| dc.subject | austerity policies | pt_PT |
| dc.title | A Tale of Two Elections: Information, Motivated Reasoning, and the Economy in the 2011 and 2015 Portuguese Elections | pt_PT |
| dc.type | journal article | |
| dspace.entity.type | Publication | |
| oaire.citation.conferencePlace | Lisboa | pt_PT |
| oaire.citation.endPage | 758 | pt_PT |
| oaire.citation.issue | LLI | pt_PT |
| oaire.citation.startPage | 736 | pt_PT |
| oaire.citation.title | Análise Social | pt_PT |
| oaire.citation.volume | 225 | pt_PT |
| person.familyName | Miguel Dias Costa Coutinho Magalhães | |
| person.givenName | Pedro | |
| person.identifier | B-3197-2010 | |
| person.identifier.ciencia-id | 7916-2510-3456 | |
| person.identifier.orcid | 0000-0001-8934-4552 | |
| person.identifier.scopus-author-id | 10241661800 | |
| rcaap.rights | openAccess | pt_PT |
| rcaap.type | article | pt_PT |
| relation.isAuthorOfPublication | 0f8f6f40-96f4-43e6-9489-2b9ab6b64b24 | |
| relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery | 0f8f6f40-96f4-43e6-9489-2b9ab6b64b24 |