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A longer-run perspective on fiscal stability

dc.contributor.authorAfonso, António
dc.contributor.authorJalles, João Tovar
dc.date.accessioned2011-11-16T16:02:50Z
dc.date.available2011-11-16T16:02:50Z
dc.date.issued2011
dc.description.abstractThis paper investigates the sustainability of fiscal policy in a set of 19 countries by taking a longer-run secular perspective over the period 1880-2009. Via a systematic analysis of the stationarity properties of the first-differenced level of government debt, and disentangling the components of the debt series using Structural Time Series Models, we are able to conclude that the solvency condition would be satisfied in mostly all cases since non-stationarity can be rejected, and, therefore, longer-run fiscal sustainability cannot be rejected (Japan and Spain can be exceptions). The same would be true for the panel sample analysis.por
dc.description.sponsorshipUECE is supported by FCT (Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, Portugal)por
dc.identifier.citationAfonso, António, João Tovar Jalles. 2011. "A longer-run perspective on fiscal stability". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº 17-2011/DE/UECE.por
dc.identifier.issn0874-4548
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/3586
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.publisherISEG - Departamento de Economiapor
dc.relation.ispartofseriesDE/ Working paper nº 17-2011/DE/UECE
dc.subjectFiscal Sustainabilitypor
dc.subjectGovernment Debtpor
dc.subjectUnit Rootspor
dc.subjectBreakspor
dc.subjectStructural Time Series Modelspor
dc.titleA longer-run perspective on fiscal stabilitypor
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpor

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