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Measuring sentiment: the impact on financial markets volatility

dc.contributor.advisorGarcia, Maria Teresa Medeiros
dc.contributor.authorCarvalho, Carolina e Silva Correia de
dc.date.accessioned2025-03-21T10:01:28Z
dc.date.available2025-03-21T10:01:28Z
dc.date.issued2024-10
dc.description.abstractThis dissertation provides insights into the impact of sentiment factors on stock market volatility using monthly panel data from Germany, the UK and the US from 2002-2022. The main objective is to understand how the consumer confidence index, the trading volume, the put/call ratio, and the number of IPOs - components of the sentiment index used in this research - affect the volatility of the DAX 40, FTSE 100, and S&P 500 indices, respectively. The results suggest that investor sentiment has impact on market volatility in all three indices. In particular, a higher consumer confidence index correlates with lower volatility, suggesting that positive sentiment stabilizes markets. Conversely, increased trading volume and a higher put/call ratio are associated with increased volatility, reflecting greater market activity and investor uncertainty. In addition, the number of IPOs serves as a sentiment gauge, with increased IPO activity corresponding to a more optimistic market outlook and contributing to lower volatility. Overall, the results underscore the importance of integrating sentiment measures into financial analysis and provide valuable insights for investors and policymakers seeking to understand and manage market fluctuations. This research contributes to the behavioural finance literature by elucidating the complex interplay between investor sentiment and stock market behaviour.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationCarvalho, Carolina e Silva Correia de (2024). “Measuring sentiment: the impact on financial markets volatility ”. Dissertação de Mestrado. Universidade de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão.pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/99577
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.publisherInstituto Superior de Economia e Gestãopt_PT
dc.subjectSentimentpt_PT
dc.subjectVolatilitypt_PT
dc.subjectStock marketpt_PT
dc.titleMeasuring sentiment: the impact on financial markets volatilitypt_PT
dc.typemaster thesis
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typemasterThesispt_PT

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