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Climate and landscape changes as driving forces for future range shift in southern populations of the European badger

2019-02Journal article Open access
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dc.contributor.authorRosalino, Luís Miguel
dc.contributor.authorGuedes, Diana
dc.contributor.authorCabecinha, Diogo
dc.contributor.authorSerronha, Ana
dc.contributor.authorGrilo, Clara
dc.contributor.authorSantos-Reis, Margarida
dc.contributor.authorMonterroso, Pedro
dc.contributor.authorCarvalho, João
dc.contributor.authorFonseca, Carlos
dc.contributor.authorPardavila, Xosé
dc.contributor.authorVirgós, Emílio
dc.contributor.authorHipólito, Dário
dc.date.accessioned2023-10-13T16:54:45Z
dc.date.available2023-10-13T16:54:45Z
dc.date.issued2019-02
dc.description.abstractHuman-Induced Rapid Environmental Change (HIREC), particularly climate change and habitat conversion, affects species distributions worldwide. Here, we aimed to (i) assess the factors that determine range patterns of European badger (Meles meles) at the southwestern edge of their distribution and (ii) forecast the possible impacts of future climate and landcover changes on those patterns. We surveyed 272 cells of 5 × 5 km, to assess badger presence and confirmed its occurrence in 95 cells (35%). Our models estimate that badger’s presence is promoted by the occurrence of herbaceous fields and shrublands (5%–10%), and low proportions of Eucalyptus plantations (<~15%). Regions with >50% of podzols and eruptive rocks, higher sheep/goat density (>4 ind/km2), an absence of cattle, intermediate precipitation regimes (800–1000 mm/year) and mild mean temperatures (15–16 °C) are also more likely to host badgers. We predict a decrease in favourability of southern areas for hosting badgers under forecasted climate and landcover change scenarios, which may lead to a northwards retraction of the species southern distribution limit, but the overall landscape favourability is predicted to slightly increase. The forecasted retraction may affect community functional integrity, as its role in southern ecological networks will be vacant.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationRosalino, L.M., Guedes, D., Cabecinha, D. et al. Climate and landscape changes as driving forces for future range shift in southern populations of the European badger. Sci Rep 9, 3155 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-39713-1pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41598-019-39713-1pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/59753
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherNaturept_PT
dc.relationCESAM (UID/AMB/50017 - POCI-01-0145-FEDER-007638)pt_PT
dc.relationFCT UID/BIA/00329/2013pt_PT
dc.relationFEDER within the PT2020 Partnership Agreement and Compete 2020pt_PT
dc.relationFCT SFRH/BD/98387/2013pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.titleClimate and landscape changes as driving forces for future range shift in southern populations of the European badgerpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue1pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleScientific Reportspt_PT
oaire.citation.volume9pt_PT
person.familyNameRosalino
person.familyNameSantos-Reis
person.givenNameLuís Miguel
person.givenNameMargarida
person.identifierB-9406-2009
person.identifier.ciencia-id9D1D-B42A-286C
person.identifier.ciencia-id4911-7756-340F
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4186-7332
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0337-963X
person.identifier.scopus-author-id6506527252
person.identifier.scopus-author-id6603189806
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication99ace499-6e09-4d61-ac99-f5d815977526
relation.isAuthorOfPublication7b16b1ea-769c-4c3c-a2f5-b10bf4077f06
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery99ace499-6e09-4d61-ac99-f5d815977526

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