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Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union

dc.contributor.authorAfonso, António
dc.contributor.authorHuart, Florence
dc.contributor.authorJalles, João Tovar
dc.contributor.authorStanek, Piotr
dc.date.accessioned2018-09-26T14:17:00Z
dc.date.available2018-09-26T14:17:00Z
dc.date.issued2017-09
dc.description.abstractWe assess the sustainability of the current account (CA) balance, net international investment position (NIIP) and net external debt (NED) in a sample of EU countries using two complementary approaches. First, we employ both time-series and panel-data stationarity tests of current account balance-to-GDP ratios as well as cointegration tests of exports and imports of goods and services. Second, we assess the level of trade balance that stabilizes the NIIP and the NED. We find that there is sustainability of the CA balance mainly in a few surplus countries whereas there is more concern about the sustainability of the NIIP or NED in countries with a credit position than in countries with a debit position. Both approaches are consistent with each other given the relationship between flows and stocks, the existence of important structural breaks, and valuation effects via the exchange rate.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationAfonso, António ... [et al.] (2017). "Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão – REM Working paper nº 001 - 2017pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn2184-108X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/15968
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematicspt_PT
dc.relation.ispartofseriesREM Working paper;nº 001 - 2017
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://rem.rc.iseg.ulisboa.pt/wps/pdf/REM_WP_001_2017.pdfpt_PT
dc.subjectcurrent accountpt_PT
dc.subjectexportspt_PT
dc.subjectimportspt_PT
dc.subjectnet foreign assetspt_PT
dc.subjectunit rootspt_PT
dc.subjectstructural breakspt_PT
dc.subjectcointegrationpt_PT
dc.subjecterror-correctionpt_PT
dc.subjectcross-sectional dependence European Unionpt_PT
dc.titleAssessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Unionpt_PT
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt_PT

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