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Assessing long-term fiscal development : evidence from Portugal

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Abstract(s)

Drawing on quarterly data for Portugal, we use a Three-Stage Least Square method and a system of equations to recursively estimate two components of fiscal policy -responsiveness and persistence - and to infer about the sources of fiscal deterioration (improvement). The results suggest that: (i) government spending exhibits higher persistence than government revenue; and (ii) government revenue is more responsive to the business cycle than government spending.

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Fiscal Deterioration Portugal

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Citation

Afonso, António e Ricardo M. Sousa. 2009. "Assessing long-term fiscal development : evidence from Portugal". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº 3-2009/DE/UECE

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