A carregar...
Publicação
As PPP em Portugal - Uma estimativa do número de passageiros para o Metro Sul do Tejo
| Nome: | Descrição: | Tamanho: | Formato: | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.54 MB | Adobe PDF |
Orientador(es)
Resumo(s)
Ao longo das últimas décadas, tem se verificado em grande parte dos países, a tendência para os governos entregarem ao setor privado, ramos de atividade que até então eram geridos pelo setor público. Tal situação é motivada pela escassez de recursos financeiros por parte do Estado, bem como pela necessidade de aumentar a oferta, a qualidade e a eficiência dos serviços públicos. Deste modo, existiu um crescimento notável e exponencial da utilização das Parcerias Público-Privadas (PPPs), sendo que Portugal aparece destacado na utilização deste tipo de contratos em relação a outros países europeus, dada a situação financeira extremamente delicada que atravessou durante vários anos, associada a uma conjuntura económica global pouco favorável ao cumprimento das metas orçamentais. Contudo, este notável crescimento levou a que muitos projetos não tivessem um modelo sólido e os seus riscos devidamente acautelados, de forma a ser possível corrigir falhas ou imperfeições, conforme sucedeu com o Metro Sul do Tejo (MST). O presente trabalho tem como objetivo basilar fazer uma contextualização das Parcerias Público-Privadas a nível europeu e, em particular, em Portugal. Além disso, pretende fazer um estudo da forma como o projeto do MST foi estruturado e compreender as questões-chave que levam a encargos de milhões de euros anuais para o Estado, através da análise das suas condições contratuais, das renegociações e das discrepâncias entre a procura prevista no cenário do Caso Base e a procura efetiva que na realidade se veio a verificar. Através do cálculo de uma estimativa do número de potenciais passageiros do MST, e de acordo com os dados dos Censos do ano de 2001, será possível tirar como conclusão basilar que o valor do limite mínimo da banda de tráfego de referência garantida contratualmente era demasiado otimista, tendo em conta o número de indivíduos que à época realizava movimentos pendulares no concelho de Almada.
Over the last few decades, it has been verifying in many countries towards governments delivering to the private sector, some industries that until then had been managing by the public sector. This situation was prompted by the lack of financial resources by the country Governments, as well as by the need to increase the supply, quality and efficiency of public services. As a result, it was an exponential increase of Public Private Partnerships arrangements and Portugal is highlighted in these kinds of contracts use, in relation to other European countries. This issue was caused not only due to the really painful financial situation that it had been experiencing for several years, but also the economic issues around the World that were not conducive to be compliance with the budgetary targets. However, this remarkable growth has led to many projects did not have a solid model and their risks properly prevented, in order to be able to correct some shortcomings and imperfections, as it has been happening with the Metro Sul do Tejo (MST). The main purpose of this study is to contextualize the Public Private Partnerships in Europe and, particularly, in Portugal. Furthermore, it intends to make a study the structure of MST and then understand the key issues that leads to millions of euros of obligations for the Government, through the analysis of its contractual conditions, the renegotiations and the discrepancies between the demand foreseen in the Base Case scenario and the real demand. By calculating an estimation of the number of potential passengers of the MST, and according to the 2001 Census data, it will be possible to draw as main conclusion that the value of the minimum reference band, contractually guaranteed, was too optimistic, taking into account the number of people who, at that time, performed commuting movements at Almada area.
Over the last few decades, it has been verifying in many countries towards governments delivering to the private sector, some industries that until then had been managing by the public sector. This situation was prompted by the lack of financial resources by the country Governments, as well as by the need to increase the supply, quality and efficiency of public services. As a result, it was an exponential increase of Public Private Partnerships arrangements and Portugal is highlighted in these kinds of contracts use, in relation to other European countries. This issue was caused not only due to the really painful financial situation that it had been experiencing for several years, but also the economic issues around the World that were not conducive to be compliance with the budgetary targets. However, this remarkable growth has led to many projects did not have a solid model and their risks properly prevented, in order to be able to correct some shortcomings and imperfections, as it has been happening with the Metro Sul do Tejo (MST). The main purpose of this study is to contextualize the Public Private Partnerships in Europe and, particularly, in Portugal. Furthermore, it intends to make a study the structure of MST and then understand the key issues that leads to millions of euros of obligations for the Government, through the analysis of its contractual conditions, the renegotiations and the discrepancies between the demand foreseen in the Base Case scenario and the real demand. By calculating an estimation of the number of potential passengers of the MST, and according to the 2001 Census data, it will be possible to draw as main conclusion that the value of the minimum reference band, contractually guaranteed, was too optimistic, taking into account the number of people who, at that time, performed commuting movements at Almada area.
Descrição
Trabalho de projeto de mestrado, Matemática Aplicada à Economia e Gestão, Universidade de Lisboa, Faculdade de Ciências, 2019
Palavras-chave
Parceria Público-Privada (PPP) Contrato Risco Infraestrutura Investimento Setor Ferroviário Metro Sul do Tejo (MST) Trabalhos de projecto de mestrado - 2019