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What drives the allocation of motorways? Evidence from Portugal's fast-expanding network

2022Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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dc.contributor.authorRocha, Bruno T.
dc.contributor.authorAfonso, Nuno
dc.contributor.authorMelo, Patrícia C.
dc.contributor.authorSilva, João de Abreu e
dc.date.accessioned2022-07-29T09:22:29Z
dc.date.available2022-07-29T09:22:29Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.description.abstractThis study investigates the factors that influenced the allocation of motorways across municipalities in mainland Portugal. Our analysis, based on Poisson Pseudo-maximum Likelihood models, suggests that population size and market potential in 1981 are important determinants of motorway density in 2020. Physical and geographical variables also help explain the spatial distribution of motorway investment, as terrain ruggedness and distance to the coast are negatively associated with motorway density. In addition, we consider the influence of the proximity to historical and pre-existing transport networks on the allocation of motorways; we find that municipalities that are closer to 1800's itineraries, the main roads of the 1945's National Road Plan, and 1981's train stations appear to have higher motorway densities in 2020, but this effect is concentrated in the vast and sparsely populated area of the country that excludes what we term the high-density Portuguese “blue banana”. Interestingly, it is also only in this low-density region that partisan alignment between the municipal and the national levels of government appears to affect the allocation of transport investment, which suggests that motorways are more of a political asset in more remote or less urbanised areas.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationRocha, Bruno T. (et al.) (2022). "What drives the allocation of motorways? Evidence from Portugal's fast-expanding network". Journal of Transport Geography, 102:1-13pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn0966-6923
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/25043
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.subjectTransport Infrastructurept_PT
dc.subjectMotorwayspt_PT
dc.subjectPortuguese municipalitiespt_PT
dc.subjectHistorical transport networkspt_PT
dc.subjectPopulation accessibilitypt_PT
dc.subjectPPMLpt_PT
dc.titleWhat drives the allocation of motorways? Evidence from Portugal's fast-expanding networkpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage13pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue102pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage1pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleJournal of Transport Geographypt_PT
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT

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