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Desenvolvimento do ensino superior
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Orientador(es)
Resumo(s)
Nos últimos anos verificou-se um aumento da oferta do Ensino Superior, fenómeno sem semelhança em qualquer outro país. Esta explosão foi resultado de um forte investimento privado no sector. Por seu lado, o ensino superior público não tem capacidade para responder à procura, pelo que a fixação de vagas e os concursos nacionais de acesso são o mecanismo para a selecção de alunos a ingressar no subsistema de ensino público.
Comparativamente com os outros países comunitários, Portugal encontra-se ainda numa situação desfavorável relativamente à taxa de escolarização e taxa de diplomados do ensino superior no mercado de trabalho.
O Programa de Desenvolvimento Educativo para Portugal - PRODEP, na sua vertente do Ensino Superior, desde 1990 constitui um impulso no sector, e continuará a sê-lo até 1999, reforçando as despesas públicas assumidas pelo Estado na Educação.
Qual será o desenvolvimento futuro do Ensino Superior? Quais as repercussões das medidas tomadas actualmente? Como estará o subsistema daqui a 1O ou 20 anos?
Através deste trabalho, pretende-se contribuir para a resposta a estas e outras questões relevantes à prospectiva do Ensino Superior. Desenvolve-se neste trabalho um modelo de simulação do Ensino Superior, designado por ESUP,·que reflecte o funcionamento actual do sistema e permite a análise prospectiva da sua evolução quanto à determinação · do número de alunos, professores, custos, etc..Esta dissertação pretende constituir um instrumento do planeamento educativo facultando cenários alternativos perante um conjunto de novas medidas representadas num vector de desenvolvimento.
ln recent years an increase has been noted in the offer of Higher Education, which has been unrnatched in any other country. This explosion was the result of substantial private investment in the sector. On the other hand, Public Higher Education is unable to meet the demand, which means that the allocation of places and national entrance exams are the methods used for selecting students to study under the Public Education Subsystem. Compared with other community countries, Portugal is in an even worse situation with regard to the School Enrolment Rate and University Degree Rate in the employment market. The Prograrnrne of Educational Development for Portugal - PRODEP, in the part dealing with Higher Education, since 1990 has been a stimulus for the sector and will continue to be so until 1999, bolstering public spending on education assumed by the State. What progress will be made in Higher Education? What will be the repercussions of measures being implement at present? Where will we in 1O or 20 years' time? The intention of this dissertation is to contribute towards answering these and other questions concerning the outlook for Higher Education. A model simulation of Higher Education has been developed here, designed by ESUP. It reflets the present functioning of the system and allows a prospective analysis of its transformation!evolution, as well as its endogenous variables, such as students, teachers and costs. The aim of this dissertation is that it should be a tool for educational planning, presenting altemative scenarios in the context of new measures show in a development vector.
ln recent years an increase has been noted in the offer of Higher Education, which has been unrnatched in any other country. This explosion was the result of substantial private investment in the sector. On the other hand, Public Higher Education is unable to meet the demand, which means that the allocation of places and national entrance exams are the methods used for selecting students to study under the Public Education Subsystem. Compared with other community countries, Portugal is in an even worse situation with regard to the School Enrolment Rate and University Degree Rate in the employment market. The Prograrnrne of Educational Development for Portugal - PRODEP, in the part dealing with Higher Education, since 1990 has been a stimulus for the sector and will continue to be so until 1999, bolstering public spending on education assumed by the State. What progress will be made in Higher Education? What will be the repercussions of measures being implement at present? Where will we in 1O or 20 years' time? The intention of this dissertation is to contribute towards answering these and other questions concerning the outlook for Higher Education. A model simulation of Higher Education has been developed here, designed by ESUP. It reflets the present functioning of the system and allows a prospective analysis of its transformation!evolution, as well as its endogenous variables, such as students, teachers and costs. The aim of this dissertation is that it should be a tool for educational planning, presenting altemative scenarios in the context of new measures show in a development vector.
Descrição
Mestrado em Matemática Aplicada à Economia e Gestão
Palavras-chave
Ensino Superior Modelação Previsão Simulação Análise de custos Cenários de médio prazo
Contexto Educativo
Citação
Barbosa, Maria Eugénia Neto Ferrão da Silva, (1996)." Desenvolvimento do ensino superior". Tese de Mestrado. Universidade Técnica de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão.