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Crises social sensing: longitudinal monitoring of social perceptions of systemic risk during public health crisis

2023Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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dc.contributor.authorGaspar, Rui
dc.contributor.authorDomingos, Samuel
dc.contributor.authorToscano, Hugo
dc.contributor.authorFilipe, Jessica
dc.contributor.authorLeiras, Gisela
dc.contributor.authorRaposo, Beatriz
dc.contributor.authorPereira, Cicero Roberto
dc.contributor.authorGodinho, Cristina
dc.contributor.authorFrancisco, Rita
dc.contributor.authorSilva, Claudia
dc.contributor.authorArriaga, Miguel Telo de
dc.date.accessioned2023-02-03T11:29:13Z
dc.date.available2023-02-03T11:29:13Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractMonitoring how different people – as ‘social sensors’ – evaluate and respond to crisis such as pandemics, allows tailoring crisis communication to the social perceptions of the situation, at different moments. To gather such evidence, we proposed a index of social perceptions of systemic risk (SPSR), as an indicator of a situational threat compromising risks to physical health, psychological health, the economy, social relations, health system, and others. This indicator was the core of a social sensing approach applied to crisis situations, implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic through a content analysis of more than 130.000 public com-ments from Facebook™ users, in COVID-19 related publications. This content coding allowed creating a SPSR index monitored during a one-year descriptive longitudinal analysis. This index correlated with co-occurring events within the social system, namely epidemiological indicators across measurement cycles (e.g. new deaths; cumulative num-ber of infection cases; Intensive Care Unit hospitalizations) and tended to reflect the epidemiological situation severity (e.g. with the highest level registered during the worst pandemic wave). However, discrepancies also occurred, with high SPSR registered in a low severity situation, i.e. low number of hospitalizations and deaths (e.g. school year beginning), or low SPSR in a high severity situation (e.g. 2nd pandemic wave during Christmas), showing other factors beyond the epidemiological situation contributing to the social perceptions. After each ‘crisis period’ with SPSR peaking, there was a ‘restoration period’, consistently decreasing towards average levels of the previous measurement cycle. This can either indicate social resilience (recovery and resources potentiation) or risk attenuation after a high-severity period. This study serves as preliminary proof of concept of a crises social sensing approach, enabling monitoring of social system dynamics for various crisis types, such as health crisis or the climate crisis.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationGaspar, R., Domingos, S., Toscano, H., Filipe, J., Leiras, G., Raposo, B., Pereira, C., Godinho, C., Francisco, R., Silva, C. & Arriaga, M. T. (2023) Crises social sensing: longitudinal monitoring of social perceptions of systemic risk during public health crisis. Journal of Risk Research, 26(4), 345-366pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/13669877.2023.2170450pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1366-9877
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/56133
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherTaylor and Francispt_PT
dc.relationResearch 4 COVID-19 – Project n. 439pt_PT
dc.relationPromoting individual adaptation to extreme heat eather events: The role of affective and socio-cognitive factors in situational appraisals of challenge or threat
dc.relationWilliam James Center for Research
dc.subjectCOVID-19pt_PT
dc.subjectSARS-CoV-2pt_PT
dc.subjectCrisespt_PT
dc.subjectSocial sensingpt_PT
dc.subjectSystemic riskspt_PT
dc.subjectCrisis communicationpt_PT
dc.titleCrises social sensing: longitudinal monitoring of social perceptions of systemic risk during public health crisispt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardNumberPD/BD/128512/2017
oaire.awardNumberUID/PSI/04810/2013
oaire.awardTitlePromoting individual adaptation to extreme heat eather events: The role of affective and socio-cognitive factors in situational appraisals of challenge or threat
oaire.awardTitleWilliam James Center for Research
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT//PD%2FBD%2F128512%2F2017/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UID%2FPSI%2F04810%2F2013/PT
oaire.citation.endPage366pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage345pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleJournal of Risk Researchpt_PT
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
person.familyNamePereira
person.givenNameCicero Roberto
person.identifier.ciencia-idD918-494B-6DAF
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-3406-3985
person.identifier.ridM-6011-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id36958271200
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication51ef31ea-bb2f-4d01-ba20-c72a8e7b7d5a
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery51ef31ea-bb2f-4d01-ba20-c72a8e7b7d5a
relation.isProjectOfPublication132289ac-0e09-4b4f-adc7-006e93a37be2
relation.isProjectOfPublication80dabb89-2458-47fa-882e-a8573e1f184c
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