Population and housing needs in Portugal, 2021-2050 (POPUP)

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Demography and housing: challenges and opportunities for Lisbon’s housing prospects from 2022 to 2051

Publication . Garha, Nachatter Singh; Botelho Azevedo, Alda

Over the last decade, Lisbon has witnessed a remarkable change in its demographics and housing structure. However, changes in the housing stock were not matched with the changes in the demographic structure, creating several housing problems in the city. This situation is largely attributed to the conversion of housing stock into short-term rentals, new supply composed of high-end construction projects, and speculative in vestments, which overlook the city’s demographic trends. In this paper, we take a long-term perspective, looking at housing demand based on demographic trends up to 2051. Based on population and household projections, we identify the upcoming demographic challenges and opportunities for Lisbon’s housing prospects in the coming three decades and consider some of the adjustments needed to face these emerging challenges or to benefit from new opportunities. The results show that the housing stock in Lisbon is sufficient (in numbers) for the resident population until 2051. However, rehabilitation of residential buildings and making them affordable and accessible for vulnerable groups will be a big challenge. It will also provide an opportunity to resize the dwellings to fulfil the requirements of future households.

2025Artigo científico

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Entidade financiadora

Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia

Programa de financiamento

CEEC IND 3ed

Número da atribuição

2020.01758.CEECIND/CP1615/CT0010