BFMV-Teses/Dissertações inaugurais (1852-1930)
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- Equity research: KBC Group NVPublication . Nunes, Pedro Manuel Costa; Basto, Florence Mendes Correia Carp PintoThis equity research report provides an in-depth valuation and analysis of KBC Group NV ("KBC"), one of the biggest financial institutions in Belgium, having an integrated banking and insurance business model. The group operates in Belgium, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Bulgaria. The recommendation is SELL based on the Residual Income Method, with a 2025YE target price of 60.29€ per share, showing a downside potential of 15.51%, with an annualized return of -18.99%, over the current price of 71.36€ (1st October 2024), with medium risk. The recommendation is mainly explained by the abnormal results in the last 2 years, due to the high increase in the Euribor and interest rates, the inability to decrease the cost-to-income ratio due to the increase of the operating expenses, and the slow growth in Insurance products and fee/commissions. The report also includes valuation methods like the Flow-to-Equity Method, Dividend Discount Model and Market Approach. Changes in interest rates and regulations have a major impact on the bank's performance, and the bank's valuation is extremely susceptible to a variety of hazards. The CFA Institute's best procedures and criteria are followed in this equity research report.
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