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The relationship between budget deficit and external deficit : the case of Portugal

dc.contributor.authorCoelho, José Carlos
dc.date.accessioned2020-02-27T14:19:22Z
dc.date.available2020-02-27T14:19:22Z
dc.date.issued2020-02
dc.description.abstractThis paper makes an empirical analysis applied to Portugal between 1999 and 2016 which investigates the existence of a causal relationship between the budget balance (overall and primary) and the external balance (goods and services and current). Using Granger Causality Test (1969) and the Toda-Yamamoto Methodology (1995), we conclude that there is causality between the overall budget balance and the current external balance and between the primary budget balance and the current external balance, which provides support to the Twin Deficits Hypothesis. We also found some evidence to verify the Current Account Targeting Hypothesis, which points to the possibility of bi-directional causality between the budget deficit and the external deficit in Portugal.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationCoelho, José Carlos (2020). "The relationship between budget deficit and external deficit : the case of Portugal". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão – REM Working paper nº 0116 - 2020pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn2184-108X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/19800
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematicspt_PT
dc.relation.ispartofseriesREM Working paper;nº 0116 - 2020
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://rem.rc.iseg.ulisboa.pt/wps/pdf/REM_WP_0116_2020.pdfpt_PT
dc.subjectbudget deficitpt_PT
dc.subjectexternal deficitpt_PT
dc.subjectPortugalpt_PT
dc.subjectGranger Causality Testpt_PT
dc.subjectToda-Yamamoto Methodologypt_PT
dc.titleThe relationship between budget deficit and external deficit : the case of Portugalpt_PT
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt_PT

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