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Using individual-based demographic modelling to estimate the impacts of anthropogenic mortality on territorial predators

dc.contributor.authorMarques, Ana Teresa
dc.contributor.authorCrispim-Mendes, Tiago
dc.contributor.authorPalma, Luís
dc.contributor.authorPita, Ricardo
dc.contributor.authorMoreira, Francisco
dc.contributor.authorBeja, Pedro
dc.date.accessioned2025-07-28T10:10:53Z
dc.date.available2025-07-28T10:10:53Z
dc.date.issued2024-07
dc.description.abstractWildlife anthropogenic mortality is increasing worldwide, yet there is limited understanding regarding its population-level impacts. Territorial species stand out in this context, as they possess distinctive characteristics that are often overlooked but may significantly affect their vulnerability. In particular, population impacts may depend on the level and spatial distribution of additional mortality risk across territories, and on the extent to which exposure to increased mortality varies across life stages (i.e., territorial and non-territorial individuals). In this study, we developed an Individual-Based Model (IBM) to explore these issues, using the Bonelli’s eagle (Aquila fasciata) and electrocution in powerline pylons as a model system. We used declines in annual population growth rates as a proxy for negative impacts, and conducted simulations to estimate the relative impacts of different levels of mortality risk, the spatial pattern of such risks, and the risk exposure of different life stages. Population-level impacts greatly increased with the mortality risks simulated, and they were lower when exposure to mortality risks was concentrated versus spread across territories. Impacts were highest when both territorial and non-territorial individuals were exposed to anthropogenic mortality risks, and they were higher when such exposure only affected non-territorial versus territorial individuals. Our results underscore that each breeding territory should be considered as a unit, where all existing pylons should be intervened whenever mitigation actions are put in place. Results also highlight the importance of considering both the territorial and non-territorial fractions of the population to prevent and mitigate the impacts of increased mortality. More generally, our study illustrates the value of IBM frameworks such as ours to explore population-level impacts resulting from anthropogenic mortality in territorial species, and to inform the development of conservation strategies to mitigate such impacts.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationMarques, Ana Teresa, et al. «Using Individual-Based Demographic Modelling to Estimate the Impacts of Anthropogenic Mortality on Territorial Predators». Ecological Modelling, vol. 493, julho de 2024, p. 110752. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110752.pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2024.110752pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/102453
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relationResearch Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology
dc.relationIntegrating fine scale environmental and genetic data to predict wildlife population and community responses to land-use intensification
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolmodelpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectAgent-based modelspt_PT
dc.subjectAquila fasciatapt_PT
dc.subjectElectrocutionpt_PT
dc.subjectPopulation dynamicspt_PT
dc.subjectPower linespt_PT
dc.titleUsing individual-based demographic modelling to estimate the impacts of anthropogenic mortality on territorial predatorspt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleResearch Network in Biodiversity and Evolutionary Biology
oaire.awardTitleIntegrating fine scale environmental and genetic data to predict wildlife population and community responses to land-use intensification
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/Concurso de avaliação no âmbito do Programa Plurianual de Financiamento de Unidades de I&D (2017%2F2018) - Financiamento Base/UIDB%2F05183%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/Concurso de avaliação no âmbito do Programa Plurianual de Financiamento de Unidades de I&D (2017%2F2018) - Financiamento Programático/UIDP%2F05183%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/Concurso para Atribuição do Estatuto e Financiamento de Laboratórios Associados (LA)/LA%2FP%2F0121%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/POR_ALENT/SFRH%2FBD%2F145156%2F2019/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/Projectos Exploratórios do IF 2015/IF%2F01053%2F2015%2FCP1278%2FCT0001/PT
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oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/CEEC IND5ed/2022.02878.CEECIND%2FCP1734%2FCT0002/PT
oaire.citation.startPage110752pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleEcological Modellingpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume493pt_PT
oaire.fundingStreamConcurso de avaliação no âmbito do Programa Plurianual de Financiamento de Unidades de I&D (2017/2018) - Financiamento Base
oaire.fundingStreamConcurso de avaliação no âmbito do Programa Plurianual de Financiamento de Unidades de I&D (2017/2018) - Financiamento Programático
oaire.fundingStreamConcurso para Atribuição do Estatuto e Financiamento de Laboratórios Associados (LA)
oaire.fundingStreamPOR_ALENT
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person.familyNameMarques
person.familyNameBrito Palma
person.familyNameRibeiro Ferraria Moreira
person.givenNameAna Teresa
person.givenNameLuís Filipe Figueira
person.givenNameFrancisco Manuel
person.identifierJ-2585-2014
person.identifierhttp://www.researcherid.com/rid/A-7879-2012
person.identifier.ciencia-id2A1A-7601-8854
person.identifier.ciencia-id0918-CBF0-AAA0
person.identifier.ciencia-id5212-8AF1-5206
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-3279-643X
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0339-6843
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4393-8018
person.identifier.scopus-author-id9234678800
person.identifier.scopus-author-idhttps://www.scopus.com/authid/detail.uri?authorId=55971627900
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
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project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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