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What "hides" behind sovereign debt ratings?

dc.contributor.authorAfonso, António
dc.contributor.authorGomes, Pedro
dc.contributor.authorRother, Philipp
dc.date.accessioned2010-06-14T11:19:21Z
dc.date.available2010-06-14T11:19:21Z
dc.date.issued2007-01
dc.description.abstractIn this paper we study the determinants of sovereign debt credit ratings using rating notations from the three main international rating agencies, for the period 1995-2005. We employ panel estimation and random effects ordered probit approaches to assess the explanatory power of several macroeconomic and public governance variables. Our results point to a good performance of the estimated models, across agencies and across the time dimension, as well as a good overall prediction power. Relevant explanatory variables for a country's credit rating are: GDP per capita, GDP growth, government debt, government effectiveness indicators, external debt, external reserves, and default history.pt
dc.identifier.citationAfonso, António, Pedro Gomes e Philipp Rother. 2007. "What "hides" behind sovereign debt ratings?". European Central Bank working paper series nº 711-2007pt
dc.identifier.issn1725-2806
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2134
dc.language.isoengpt
dc.publisherEuropean Central Bankpt
dc.relation.ispartofseriesEuropean Central Bank working paper series;nº 711-2007
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp711.pdfpt
dc.subjectcredit ratingspt
dc.subjectsovereign debtpt
dc.subjectrating agenciespt
dc.subjectpanel datapt
dc.subjectrandom effects ordered probitpt
dc.titleWhat "hides" behind sovereign debt ratings?pt
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt

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