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Assessing long-term fiscal developments : a new approach

dc.contributor.authorAfonso, António
dc.contributor.authorAgnello, Luca
dc.contributor.authorFurceri, Davide
dc.contributor.authorSousa, Ricardo M.
dc.date.accessioned2010-06-23T09:52:42Z
dc.date.available2010-06-23T09:52:42Z
dc.date.issued2009-03
dc.description.abstractWe use a new approach to assess long-term fiscal developments. By analyzing the time varying behaviour of the two components of government spending and revenue -responsiveness and persistence - we are able to infer about the sources of fiscal behaviour. Drawing on quarterly data we estimate recursively these components within a system of government revenue and spending equations using a Three-Stage Least Square method. In this way we track fiscal developments, i.e. possible fiscal deteriorations and/or improvements for eight European Union countries plus the US. Results suggest that positions have not significantly changed for Finland, France, Germany, Spain, the United Kingdom and the US, whilst they have improved for Belgium, Italy, and the Netherlands.pt
dc.identifier.citationAfonso, António ... [et al.]. 2009. "Assessing long-term fiscal developments : a new approach". European Central Bank working paper series nº 1032-2009pt
dc.identifier.issn1725-2806
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2157
dc.language.isoengpt
dc.publisherEuropean Central Bankpt
dc.relation.ispartofseriesEuropean Central Bank working paper series;nº 1032-2009
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp1032.pdfpt
dc.subjectFiscal Deteriorationpt
dc.subjectFiscal Sustainabilitypt
dc.titleAssessing long-term fiscal developments : a new approachpt
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt

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