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Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation

2022-08Journal article Open access
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dc.contributor.authorChrysafi, Anna
dc.contributor.authorVirkki, Vili
dc.contributor.authorJalava, Mika
dc.contributor.authorSandström, Vilma
dc.contributor.authorPiipponen, Johannes
dc.contributor.authorPorkka, Miina
dc.contributor.authorLade, Steven J.
dc.contributor.authorLa Mere, Kelsey
dc.contributor.authorWang-Erlandsson, Lan
dc.contributor.authorScherer, Laura
dc.contributor.authorAndersen, Lauren S.
dc.contributor.authorBennett, Elena
dc.contributor.authorBrauman, Kate A.
dc.contributor.authorCooper, Gregory S.
dc.contributor.authorDe Palma, Adriana
dc.contributor.authorDöll, Petra
dc.contributor.authorDowning, Andrea S.
dc.contributor.authorDuBois, Timothy C.
dc.contributor.authorFetzer, Ingo
dc.contributor.authorFulton, Elizabeth A.
dc.contributor.authorGerten, Dieter
dc.contributor.authorJaafar, Hadi
dc.contributor.authorJägermeyr, Jonas
dc.contributor.authorJaramillo, Fernando
dc.contributor.authorJung, Martin
dc.contributor.authorKahiluoto, Helena
dc.contributor.authorLassaletta, Luis
dc.contributor.authorMackay, Anson W.
dc.contributor.authorMason-D’Croz, Daniel
dc.contributor.authorMekonnen, Mesfin M.
dc.contributor.authorNash, Kirsty L.
dc.contributor.authorPastor, Amandine V
dc.contributor.authorRamankutty, Navin
dc.contributor.authorRidoutt, Brad
dc.contributor.authorSiebert, Stefan
dc.contributor.authorSimmons, Benno I.
dc.contributor.authorStaal, Arie
dc.contributor.authorSun, Zhongxiao
dc.contributor.authorTobian, Arne
dc.contributor.authorUsubiaga-Liaño, Arkaitz
dc.contributor.authorvan der Ent, Ruud J.
dc.contributor.authorvan Soesbergen, Arnout
dc.contributor.authorVerburg, Peter H.
dc.contributor.authorWada, Yoshihide
dc.contributor.authorZipper, Sam
dc.contributor.authorKummu, Matti
dc.date.accessioned2023-01-18T13:44:15Z
dc.date.available2023-01-18T13:44:15Z
dc.date.issued2022-08
dc.description.abstractSeveral safe boundaries of critical Earth system processes have already been crossed due to human perturbations; not accounting for their interactions may further narrow the safe operating space for humanity. Using expert knowledge elicitation, we explored interactions among seven variables representing Earth system processes relevant to food production, identifying many interactions little explored in Earth system literature. We found that green water and land system change affect other Earth system processes strongly, while land, freshwater and ocean components of biosphere integrity are the most impacted by other Earth system processes, most notably blue water and biogeochemical flows. We also mapped a complex network of mechanisms mediating these interactions and created a future research prioritization scheme based on interaction strengths and existing knowledge gaps. Our study improves the understanding of Earth system interactions, with sustainability implications including improved Earth system modelling and more explicit biophysical limits for future food production.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationChrysafi, A., Virkki, V., Jalava, M. et al. Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitation. Nat Sustain 5, 830–842 (2022).pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41893-022-00940-6pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/55924
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherNaturept_PT
dc.relationAalto University.pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.titleQuantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via expert elicitationpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage842pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue10pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage830pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleNature Sustainabilitypt_PT
oaire.citation.volume5pt_PT
person.familyNamePastor
person.givenNameAmandine
person.identifier.ciencia-id6D17-2A85-ABDB
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4526-7705
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication1a2a898b-8ff9-4981-9e32-9438842e4527
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery1a2a898b-8ff9-4981-9e32-9438842e4527

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