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Explaining party switching in an institutionalised party system: the case of South Africa

2024Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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dc.contributor.authorSanches, Edalina
dc.contributor.authorKartalis, Yani
dc.contributor.authorSiachiwena, Hangala
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-07T11:46:38Z
dc.date.available2025-01-07T11:46:38Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractInstitutionalised party systems are said to foster stronger party allegiances and fewer switches. However, this expectation is called into question when we observe the case of South Africa. Despite being characterised by a highly institutionalised dominant party system as well as party-centred electoral and candidate selection rules, South Africa has experienced frequent episodes of floor-crossing over time. This article advances an analytical framework that links elites’ vote-seeking and office-seeking incentives to party switching and party system functioning. It posits that as elites strive for (re)selection and (re-)election, they will depart from smaller to larger parties, and this ultimately reinforces the party system of the day. Utilising an original dataset of 5,230 candidates to the National Assembly and the provincial legislatures of South Africa between 1999 and 2019, the study charts the overall rate of party switching and tests hypotheses postulating the effect of party size and candidates’ electoral marginality on the likelihood of switching parties. The analyses reveal that candidates from smaller parties and those who failed to be (re-)elected by the narrowest margin are more likely to switch parties in the next election. Additionally, most candidates who switched parties tended to move to parties that fared better than their original party in the next election; and they switched from parties that either did worse or stayed the same. But we did not find a strong correlation linking party performance to switches. The study highlights the role of intra-party competition in patterns of elite migration and reveals the importance of linking elite behaviour to party system functioningpt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationSanches, E. R., Kartalis, Y., & Siachiwena, H. (2024). Explaining party switching in an institutionalised party system: the case of South Africa. Journal of Southern African Studies, Vol. 50, N. 4, pp. 665-684. DOI: 10.1080/03057070.2024.2415183pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/03057070.2024.2415183pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn0305-7070
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/96911
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherRoutledgept_PT
dc.relationHow Members of Parliament in Africa Represent their Constituencies
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectinstitutionalised party systemspt_PT
dc.subjectparty switchingpt_PT
dc.subjectcandidatespt_PT
dc.subjectelectoral marginalitypt_PT
dc.subjectparty sizept_PT
dc.subjectSouth Africapt_PT
dc.titleExplaining party switching in an institutionalised party system: the case of South Africapt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardNumberPTDC/CPO-CPO/4796/2020
oaire.awardTitleHow Members of Parliament in Africa Represent their Constituencies
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/Concurso para Financiamento de Projetos de Investigação Científica e Desenvolvimento Tecnológico em Todos os Domínios Científicos - 2020/PTDC%2FCPO-CPO%2F4796%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.titleJournal of Southern African Studiespt_PT
oaire.fundingStreamConcurso para Financiamento de Projetos de Investigação Científica e Desenvolvimento Tecnológico em Todos os Domínios Científicos - 2020
person.familyNameSanches
person.givenNameEdalina
person.identifier.ciencia-idFE15-2337-65AB
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-6007-3680
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56478699300
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication118695b3-c98d-4dd5-849b-de2c9fde470f
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery118695b3-c98d-4dd5-849b-de2c9fde470f
relation.isProjectOfPublicationaf4518cf-ed10-4a4e-8b76-b71456bb56db
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryaf4518cf-ed10-4a4e-8b76-b71456bb56db

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