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Terror and its fiscal consequences

dc.contributor.authorClements, Benedict
dc.contributor.authorGupta, Sanjeev
dc.contributor.authorJalles, João Tovar
dc.contributor.authorKhamidova, Saida
dc.date.accessioned2020-09-04T15:07:21Z
dc.date.available2020-09-04T15:07:21Z
dc.date.issued2020-08
dc.description.abstractWe explore the impact of major terrorism shocks on macroeconomic and fiscal variables´ dynamics using an unbalanced panel of 191 heterogeneous countries from 1970 to 2018. By means of the local projection method, we find that a terrorist shock lowers a country’s real GDP as well as government tax revenues and raises debt-to-GDP ratio. The composition of government spending shifts in favor of military spending. Low-income countries are affected more than both emerging market and advanced economies. Our results are robust to a battery of sensitivity and robustness tests.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationClements, Benedict ... [et al.] (2020). "Terror and its fiscal consequences". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão – REM Working paper nº 0140 – 2020pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn2184-108X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/20249
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematicspt_PT
dc.relation.ispartofseriesREM Working paper;nº 0140 – 2020
dc.subjectfiscal policypt_PT
dc.subjectgrowthpt_PT
dc.subjectarmed conflictpt_PT
dc.subjectterrorismpt_PT
dc.subjectpanel datapt_PT
dc.subjectlocal projection methodpt_PT
dc.subjectseemingly unrelated regressionspt_PT
dc.titleTerror and its fiscal consequencespt_PT
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt_PT

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