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Hydrological impacts of moderate and high-end climate change across European river basins

dc.contributor.authorLobanova, Anastasia
dc.contributor.authorLiersch, Stefan
dc.contributor.authorNunes, João Pedro
dc.contributor.authorDidovets, Iulii
dc.contributor.authorStagl, Judith
dc.contributor.authorHuang, Shaochun
dc.contributor.authorKoch, Hagen
dc.contributor.authorRivas López, María del Rocío
dc.contributor.authorMaule, Cathrine Fox
dc.contributor.authorHattermann, Fred
dc.contributor.authorKrysanova, Valentina
dc.date.accessioned2024-02-06T18:37:47Z
dc.date.available2024-02-06T18:37:47Z
dc.date.issued2018-08
dc.description.abstractStudy region To provide a picture of hydrological impact of climate change across different climatic zones in Europe, this study considers eight river basins: Tagus in Iberian Peninsula; Emån and Lule in Scandinavia; Rhine, Danube and Teteriv in Central and Eastern Europe; Tay on the island of Great Britain and Northern Dvina in North-Eastern Europe. Study focus In this study the assessment of the impacts of moderate and high-end climate change scenarios on the hydrological patterns in European basins was conducted. To assess the projected changes, the process-based eco-hydrological model SWIM (Soil and Water Integrated Model) was set up, calibrated and validated for the basins. The SWIM was driven by the bias-corrected climate projections obtained from the coupled simulations of the Global Circulation Models and Regional Climate Models. New hydrological insights for the region The results show robust decreasing trends in water availability in the most southern river basin (Tagus), an overall increase in discharge in the most northern river basin (Lule), increase in the winter discharge and shift in seasonality in Northern and Central European catchments. The impacts of the high-end climate change scenario RCP 8.5 continue to develop until the end of the century, while those of the moderate climate change scenario RCP 4.5 level-off after the mid-century. The results of this study also confirm trends, found previously with mostly global scale models.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationLobanova, A., Liersch, S., Nunes, J. P., Didovets, I., Stagl, J., Huang, S., Koch, H., Del Rocío Rivas López, M., Maule, C. F., Hattermann, F. F., & Krysanova, V. (2018). Hydrological impacts of moderate and high-end climate change across European river basins. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 18, 15–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2018.05.003pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.ejrh.2018.05.003pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/62465
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relationIMPRESSIONS funded within the FP7 Framework of the European Commissionpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.titleHydrological impacts of moderate and high-end climate change across European river basinspt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage30pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage15pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studiespt_PT
oaire.citation.volume18pt_PT
person.familyNameCarvalho Nunes
person.givenNameJoão Pedro
person.identifierA-5497-2011
person.identifier.ciencia-id2911-5CBD-5FA9
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0164-249X
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7102878032
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationff741d71-8daf-4dbe-aec4-f4b9697072c5
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryff741d71-8daf-4dbe-aec4-f4b9697072c5

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