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On the time-varying relationship between EMU sovereign spreads and their determinants

dc.contributor.authorAfonso, António
dc.contributor.authorArghyrou, Michael G.
dc.contributor.authorBagdatoglou, George
dc.contributor.authorKontonikas, Alexandros
dc.date.accessioned2013-02-28T19:17:35Z
dc.date.available2013-02-28T19:17:35Z
dc.date.issued2013-02
dc.description.abstractWe use a dynamic multipath general-to-specific algorithm to capture structural instability in the link between euro area sovereign bond yield spreads against Germany and their underlying determinants over the period January 1999 – August 2011. We offer new evidence suggesting a significant heterogeneity across countries, both in terms of the risk factors determining spreads over time as well as in terms of the magnitude of their impact on spreads. Our findings suggest that the relationship between euro area sovereign risk and the underlying fundamentals is strongly time-varying, turning from inactive to active since the onset of the global financial crisis and further intensifying during the sovereign debt crisis. As a general rule, the set of financial and macro spreads’ determinants in the euro area is rather unstable but generally becomes richer and stronger in significance as the crisis evolves.por
dc.identifier.citationAfonso, António ... [et al.]. 2013. "On the time-varying relationship between EMU sovereign spreads and their determinants". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers, nº 5-2013/DE/UECEpor
dc.identifier.issn0874-4548
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/5264
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.publisherISEG - Departamento de Economiapor
dc.relation.ispartofseriesDE/ working papers nº 5-2013/DE/UECE
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://aquila.iseg.utl.pt/aquila/getFile.do?method=getFile&fileId=333003&contentContextPath_PATH=/departamentos/ec/lateral/menu-working-papers/nova-serie/2013&_request_checksum_=3c68208847265919882a9b5aea6629f2996f6bddpor
dc.subjectEuro Areapor
dc.subjectCrisispor
dc.subjectSpreadspor
dc.subjectTime-Series Analysispor
dc.subjectTime-Varying Relationshippor
dc.titleOn the time-varying relationship between EMU sovereign spreads and their determinantspor
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpor

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