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Social security and economic performance in Portugal : after all that has been said and done how much has actually changed?

dc.contributor.authorPereira, Alfredo M.
dc.contributor.authorAndraz, Jorge M.
dc.date.accessioned2018-06-21T15:04:12Z
dc.date.available2018-06-21T15:04:12Z
dc.date.issued2012-08
dc.description.abstractThis paper provides an empirical estimate of the macroeconomic effects of the Portuguese pay-as-you-go social security system based on data for the period 1970–2007 and on VAR estimates using GDP, the unit cost of labor, the unemployment rate, the savings rate and social security spending. The major findings are twofold. First, growing social security spending has had detrimental effects on all of the private sector variables under consideration suggesting the existence of sizable inefficiencies. Second, these inefficiencies persist despite the successive reforms that took place over the last two decades. These results highlight the need for structural reforms of the pay-as-you-go system thereby addressing the sources of these inefficiencies, regardless of whether or not the system is financially sustainable. Furthermore, any reforms designed to address sustainability concerns cannot ignore these inefficiencies or risk making them even worse and thereby hindering the quest for sustain- ability itself.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationPereira, Alfredo M. e Jorge M. Andraz (2012). "Social security and economic performance in Portugal : after all that has been said and done how much has actually changed?". Portuguese Economic Journal, 11(2):83-100pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10258-012-0082-7pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1617-982X (print)
dc.identifier.issn1617-9838 (online)
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/15687
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherSpringer Verlagpt_PT
dc.subjectSocial securitypt_PT
dc.subjectUnemploymentpt_PT
dc.subjectSavingspt_PT
dc.subjectOutputpt_PT
dc.subjectVARpt_PT
dc.subjectPortugalpt_PT
dc.titleSocial security and economic performance in Portugal : after all that has been said and done how much has actually changed?pt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/3599-PPCDT/PTDC%2FECO%2F64595%2F2006/PT
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceLisboapt_PT
oaire.citation.endPage100pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue2pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage83pt_PT
oaire.citation.titlePortuguese Economic Journalpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume11pt_PT
oaire.fundingStream3599-PPCDT
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsclosedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isProjectOfPublicationeb9ec8a1-362b-495f-a89d-56aa4e79a4b1
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryeb9ec8a1-362b-495f-a89d-56aa4e79a4b1

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