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Re-employment probabilities over the business cycle

dc.contributor.authorImbens, Guido W.
dc.contributor.authorLynch, Lisa M.
dc.date.accessioned2018-06-01T09:04:15Z
dc.date.available2018-06-01T09:04:15Z
dc.date.issued2006-08
dc.description.abstractUsing a Cox proportional hazard model that allows for a flexible time dependence in order to incorporate business cycle effects, we analyze the determinants of re-employment probabilities of young workers in the USA from 1978–1989. We find considerable changes in the chances of young workers finding jobs over the business cycle despite the fact that personal characteristics of those starting jobless spells do not vary much over time. Therefore, government programs that target specific demographic groups may change individuals’ positions within the queue of job seekers, but may only have a more limited impact on average re- employment probabilities. Living in an area with high local unemployment reduces re-employment chances as does being in a long spell of non-employment. However, the damage associated with being in a long spell seems to be reduced somewhat if a worker is unemployed in an area with high overall unemployment.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationImbens, Guido W. e Lisa M. Lynch (2006). "Re-employment probabilities over the business cycle". Portuguese Economic Journal, 5(2):111-134pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10258-006-0006-5pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1617-982X (print)
dc.identifier.issn1617-9838 (online)
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/15531
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherSpringer Verlagpt_PT
dc.subjectUnemploymentpt_PT
dc.subjectDuration dependencept_PT
dc.subjectBusiness cyclept_PT
dc.titleRe-employment probabilities over the business cyclept_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceLisboapt_PT
oaire.citation.endPage134pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue2pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage111pt_PT
oaire.citation.titlePortuguese Economic Journalpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume5pt_PT
rcaap.rightsclosedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT

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