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Monetary policy surprises shocks under different fiscal regimes : a panel analysis of the Euro Area

dc.contributor.authorAfonso, António
dc.contributor.authorAlves, José
dc.contributor.authorIonta, Serena
dc.date.accessioned2023-08-23T10:33:34Z
dc.date.available2023-08-23T10:33:34Z
dc.date.issued2023-08
dc.description.abstractWe study the effect of monetary policy surprise shocks on real output and the price level, conditioned on different fiscal stances in the period 2001Q4-2021Q4 for a panel of the 19 countries of the Euro Area. Applying local projection methodology, we find that the effect of monetary shocks depends on each country's fiscal stance, specifically, if for output response the debt is more important in the effect of monetary policy, for prices, the "Ricardian" nature of fiscal policy appears to be far more crucial. However, regarding inflation targeting, monetary policy is most effective in the low debt regime and in the high fiscal sustainability one. Our results are robust to different specifications and models and have important policy implications notably for monetary policy, which should consider different fiscal stances when pursuing specific monetary policy objectives.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationAfonso, António, José Alves e Serena Ionta (2023). "Monetary policy surprises shocks under different fiscal regimes : a panel analysis of the Euro Area". REM Working paper series, nº 0284/2023pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn2184-108X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/28176
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematicspt_PT
dc.relationUIDB/05069/2020pt_PT
dc.relation.ispartofseriesREM Working paper series;nº 0284/2023
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://rem.rc.iseg.ulisboa.pt/wps/pdf/REM_WP_0284_2023.pdfpt_PT
dc.subjectmonetary policy surprisespt_PT
dc.subjectpublic debtpt_PT
dc.subjectfiscal sustainabilitypt_PT
dc.subjectlocal projection modelspt_PT
dc.subjectfiscal-monetary policy mixpt_PT
dc.subjectEuro areapt_PT
dc.titleMonetary policy surprises shocks under different fiscal regimes : a panel analysis of the Euro Areapt_PT
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt_PT

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