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Assessing the vulnerability of urban tree species to climate change: The case study of Lisbon gardens

2025-02Journal article Embargoed access
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dc.contributor.authorCunha, Ana Raquel
dc.contributor.authorSoares, Ana Luísa
dc.contributor.authorCatarino, Sílvia
dc.contributor.authorDuarte, Maria Cristina
dc.contributor.authorRomeiras, Maria M.
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-22T17:43:20Z
dc.date.embargo2027-02
dc.date.issued2025-02
dc.description.abstractTo mitigate the effects of climate change on urban green spaces, adaptive strategies are required, particularly regarding tree species. Lisbon is a most vulnerable city to extreme climate events and the performance and management of the numerous and diverse trees found in its gardens and parks are of much concern. We evaluated the vulnerability of such trees to predicted future Lisbon climates using the Climate Assessment Tool (Climate Change Alliance of Botanic Gardens, 2024) and inventories from 63 historical gardens and parks, including three botanical gardens. With the extensive information of the latter we: (i) identified and classified the species according to biogeographical origins; (ii) pinpointed those most vulnerable to, or favoured by climate change; and (iii) assessed the vulnerability of each studied site, according to the species present, their risk level and abundance. Among the selected 318 taxa (corresponding to 19,579 trees), the Palaearctic biogeographical region predominates. The highest risk levels were found in 50 % (77 %, for the most pessimistic climate scenario) of the Palaearctic species, which include many native taxa. Conversely, about 56 % of the Neotropical species are predicted to perform better under the worst climate change scenario. Only one of the ten most abundant tree species in Lisbon – Jacaranda mimosifolia – might remain invulnerable. Management plans for most Lisbon green spaces must therefore reexamine the use of Palaearctic species and tackle challenging adjustments, including the gradual replacement of familiar species (increasingly more difficult to maintain) by others with better performance under future climate conditions.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationAna Raquel Cunha, Ana Luísa Soares, Sílvia Catarino, Maria Cristina Duarte, Maria M. Romeiras, Assessing the vulnerability of urban tree species to climate change: The case study of Lisbon gardens, Urban Forestry & Urban Greening, Volume 104, 2025, 128664, ISSN 1618-8667, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ufug.2024.128664.pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.ufug.2024.128664pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/97540
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relationFCT 2020/04824/BD (https://doi.org/10.54499/2020.04824.BD)pt_PT
dc.relationGenoCash Project (PTDC/ASP-AGR/0760/2020; https://doi.org/10.54499/PTDC/ASP-AGR/0760/2020pt_PT
dc.relationFCT/MCTES (PIDDAC) to LEAF (UIDB/04129/2020 - https://doi.org/10.54499/UIDB/04129/2020),pt_PT
dc.relationFCT/MCTES (PIDDAC) cE3c (UIDB/00329/2020 - https://doi.org/10.54499/UIDB/00329/2020)pt_PT
dc.relationFCT and to CHANGE Associated Laboratory (LA/P/0121/2020 - https://doi.org/10.54499/LA/P/0121/2020), and TERRA Associated Laboratory (LA/P/0092/2020 - https://doi.org/10.54499/LA/P/0092/2020)pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/pt_PT
dc.titleAssessing the vulnerability of urban tree species to climate change: The case study of Lisbon gardenspt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.startPage128664pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleUrban Forestry & Urban Greeningpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume104pt_PT
person.familyNameDuarte
person.familyNameRomeiras
person.givenNameMaria Cristina
person.givenNameMaria
person.identifierL-7571-2013
person.identifier520836
person.identifier.ciencia-id351A-A358-7D49
person.identifier.ciencia-id6A1C-085E-9038
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-3823-4369
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9373-6302
person.identifier.ridJ-4552-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id15841302300
person.identifier.scopus-author-id15842082800
rcaap.embargofctO tipo de licença envolvido com a editora Elsevier para esta revista, não envolvendo pagamento (APC), apenas permite acesso em repositório público do formato 'aceite' (i.e não editado e paginado pela editora) após período de embargo de 24 meses após a data da sua publicação final.pt_PT
rcaap.rightsembargoedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication51b41b16-07ee-4b65-a009-f30e17afed9c
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationea7b586c-693d-44b0-a338-990949ac6e02
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryea7b586c-693d-44b0-a338-990949ac6e02

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