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Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered Taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae

dc.contributor.authorAlmeida, Alice Maria
dc.contributor.authorDelgado, Fernanda
dc.contributor.authorRoque, Natália
dc.contributor.authorRibeiro, Maria Margarida
dc.contributor.authorFernandez, Paulo
dc.date.accessioned2024-07-02T12:57:53Z
dc.date.available2024-07-02T12:57:53Z
dc.date.issued2023-08
dc.description.abstractClimate change and land use and land cover (LULC) change are impacting the species’ geographic distribution, causing range shifts and reducing suitable habitats. Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae (AbR) is an endangered endemic plant restricted to Serra da Gardunha (Portugal), and knowledge of those changes will help to design conservation measures. MaxEnt was used to model AbR’s current distribution and project it into the future, 2050, using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway SSP3-7. The Portuguese LULC maps from 1951–1980, 1995, 2007, and 2018 were used to assess and quantify LULC changes over time. The results showed that the AbR current predicted distribution matches its actual known distribution, which will not be affected by future predicted climate change. The significant LULC changes were observed during the study periods 1951–1980 to 2018, particularly between 1951–1980 and 1995. Scrubland and Agriculture decreased by 5% and 2.5%, respectively, and Forests increased by 4% in the study area. In the occurrence area, Agriculture increased, and Forests decreased between 1980 and 2018, due to Orchard expansion (34%) and declines in Chestnut (16.9%) and Pine (11%) areas, respectively. The use of species distribution models and the LULC change analysis contributed to understanding current and future species distribution. The LULC changes will have a significant impact on future species distribution. To prevent the extinction of this endemic species in the future, it is crucial to implement conservation measures, namely species monitoring, replantation, and germplasm conservation, in addition to guidelines for habitat conservation.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationAlmeida, A.M.; Delgado, F.; Roque, N.; Ribeiro, M.M.; Fernandez, P. Multitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered Taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhae. Plants 2023, 12, 2914pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/plants12162914pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/31222
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherMDPIpt_PT
dc.relationCENTRO-01-0145-FEDER-000020pt_PT
dc.relationResearch Center in Natural Resources, Environment and Society
dc.relationForest Research Centre
dc.relationMediterranean Institute for Agriculture, Environment and Development
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.mdpi.com/journal/plantspt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectAsphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhaept_PT
dc.subjectclimate changept_PT
dc.subjectconservationpt_PT
dc.subjectspecies distribution modeling;pt_PT
dc.subjectMaxEntpt_PT
dc.subjectLULCpt_PT
dc.titleMultitemporal land use and cover analysis coupled with climatic change scenarios to protect the endangered Taxon Asphodelus bento-rainhae subsp. bento-rainhaept_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleResearch Center in Natural Resources, Environment and Society
oaire.awardTitleForest Research Centre
oaire.awardTitleMediterranean Institute for Agriculture, Environment and Development
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F00681%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F00239%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F05183%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.issue16pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage2914pt_PT
oaire.citation.titlePlantspt_PT
oaire.citation.volume12pt_PT
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
person.familyNameRibeiro
person.givenNameMaria Margarida
person.identifier349097
person.identifier.ciencia-idAD12-4D32-7A48
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4684-1262
person.identifier.ridM-4235-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7201715611
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery611828c6-e1cd-4fe3-9f82-cf6f076860a9
relation.isProjectOfPublication254ed8d4-a524-4d76-85a7-ea930d5bf5da
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