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Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models

2021Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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dc.contributor.authorOliveira, Sandra
dc.contributor.authorRocha, Jorge
dc.contributor.authorSousa, Carla A.
dc.contributor.authorCapinha, César
dc.date.accessioned2021-05-24T13:47:40Z
dc.date.available2021-05-24T13:47:40Z
dc.date.issued2021
dc.description.abstractThe Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus), a vector of dengue, Zika and other diseases, was introduced in Europe in the 1970s, where it is still widening its range. Spurred by public health concerns, several studies have delivered predictions of the current and future distribution of the species for this region, often with differing results. We provide the first joint analysis of these predictions, to identify consensus hotspots of high and low suitability, as well as areas with high uncertainty. The analysis focused on current and future climate conditions and was carried out for the whole of Europe and for 65 major urban areas. High consensus on current suitability was found for the northwest of the Iberian Peninsula, southern France, Italy and the coastline between the western Balkans and Greece. Most models also agree on a substantial future expansion of suitable areas into northern and eastern Europe. About 83% of urban areas are expected to become suitable in the future, in contrast with ~ 49% nowadays. Our findings show that previous research is congruent in identifying wide suitable areas for Aedes albopictus across Europe and in the need to effectively account for climate change in managing and preventing its future spread.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationOliveira, Sandra, Rocha, Jorge, Sousa, Carla A., & Capinha, César. (2021). Wide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution models. Sci Rep, 11, 9916. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-89096-5
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41598-021-89096-5pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn2045-2322
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/48106
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherSpringer Naturept_PT
dc.relationPTDC/GES -OUT/30210/2017pt_PT
dc.relationCentre of Geographical Studies
dc.relationCentre of Geographical Studies
dc.relationGlobal Health and Tropical Medicine
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-89096-5pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectAedes albopictuspt_PT
dc.subjectSuitabilitypt_PT
dc.subjectDistribution modelspt_PT
dc.subjectEuropept_PT
dc.titleWide and increasing suitability for Aedes albopictus in Europe is congruent across distribution modelspt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardNumberUIDB/00295/2020
oaire.awardNumberUIDP/00295/2020
oaire.awardNumberUID/Multi/04413/2019
oaire.awardTitleCentre of Geographical Studies
oaire.awardTitleCentre of Geographical Studies
oaire.awardTitleGlobal Health and Tropical Medicine
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F00295%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDP%2F00295%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UID%2FMulti%2F04413%2F2019/PT
oaire.citation.issue1pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage9916pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleScientific Reportspt_PT
oaire.citation.volume11pt_PT
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
person.familyNameOliveira
person.familyNameRocha
person.familyNameCapinha
person.givenNameSandra
person.givenNameJorge
person.givenNameCésar
person.identifier0000000069085031
person.identifier.ciencia-id8A16-4976-FD63
person.identifier.ciencia-idEC15-76DC-9B96
person.identifier.ciencia-id7714-2A88-CDE3
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6253-4353
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7228-6330
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0666-9755
person.identifier.ridAAK-5051-2020
person.identifier.ridF-3185-2017
person.identifier.ridK-6439-2017
person.identifier.scopus-author-id17435272900
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56428061000
person.identifier.scopus-author-id32867555000
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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